Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, controlled by opposition KMT and TPP parties holding 60 of 113 seats, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over alleged constitutional violations, with public hearings ongoing into April 2026 and a final vote scheduled for May 19. Traders price a 93% chance Lai remains in office through year-end, reflecting the opposition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) for impeachment passage, followed by Constitutional Court review for removal—rendering the effort largely symbolic amid DPP boycotts. No health issues, resignation signals, or other catalysts have emerged, bolstering trader consensus on Lai completing his term uninterrupted until 2028, barring unforeseen scandals or legal breakthroughs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$27,896 Vol.
$27,896 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$27,896 Vol.
$27,896 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, controlled by opposition KMT and TPP parties holding 60 of 113 seats, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over alleged constitutional violations, with public hearings ongoing into April 2026 and a final vote scheduled for May 19. Traders price a 93% chance Lai remains in office through year-end, reflecting the opposition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) for impeachment passage, followed by Constitutional Court review for removal—rendering the effort largely symbolic amid DPP boycotts. No health issues, resignation signals, or other catalysts have emerged, bolstering trader consensus on Lai completing his term uninterrupted until 2028, barring unforeseen scandals or legal breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volumen
$27,896Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, controlled by opposition KMT and TPP parties holding 60 of 113 seats, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over alleged constitutional violations, with public hearings ongoing into April 2026 and a final vote scheduled for May 19. Traders price a 93% chance Lai remains in office through year-end, reflecting the opposition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) for impeachment passage, followed by Constitutional Court review for removal—rendering the effort largely symbolic amid DPP boycotts. No health issues, resignation signals, or other catalysts have emerged, bolstering trader consensus on Lai completing his term uninterrupted until 2028, barring unforeseen scandals or legal breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,896Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, controlled by opposition KMT and TPP parties holding 60 of 113 seats, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over alleged constitutional violations, with public hearings ongoing into April 2026 and a final vote scheduled for May 19. Traders price a 93% chance Lai remains in office through year-end, reflecting the opposition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 votes) for impeachment passage, followed by Constitutional Court review for removal—rendering the effort largely symbolic amid DPP boycotts. No health issues, resignation signals, or other catalysts have emerged, bolstering trader consensus on Lai completing his term uninterrupted until 2028, barring unforeseen scandals or legal breakthroughs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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