Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability, driven by its genre-blending appeal—haunting classical strings fused with anthemic pop—that dominated Finland's UMK national selection and has topped bookmakers' odds since March, bolstered by strong OGAE fan votes and early rehearsal footage sparking buzz. Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" trails at 15.8% on potent televote potential from its high-energy multilingual hooks, while Denmark (12.6%) and France's Monroe ("Regarde!", 9.0%) vie for jury favor amid post-pre-party shifts demoting Denmark from top-three hype. With first rehearsals underway ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on 16, jury-televote splits and staging tweaks remain pivotal swing factors in this fragmented field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de Eurovisión 2026
Ganador de Eurovisión 2026
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.8%
Dinamarca 12.6%
Francia 9.0%
$123,425,762 Vol.
$123,425,762 Vol.
Finlandia
35%
Grecia
16%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
9%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Suecia
3%
Italia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Malta
2%
Ucrania
1%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.8%
Dinamarca 12.6%
Francia 9.0%
$123,425,762 Vol.
$123,425,762 Vol.
Finlandia
35%
Grecia
16%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
9%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Suecia
3%
Italia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Malta
2%
Ucrania
1%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability, driven by its genre-blending appeal—haunting classical strings fused with anthemic pop—that dominated Finland's UMK national selection and has topped bookmakers' odds since March, bolstered by strong OGAE fan votes and early rehearsal footage sparking buzz. Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" trails at 15.8% on potent televote potential from its high-energy multilingual hooks, while Denmark (12.6%) and France's Monroe ("Regarde!", 9.0%) vie for jury favor amid post-pre-party shifts demoting Denmark from top-three hype. With first rehearsals underway ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on 16, jury-televote splits and staging tweaks remain pivotal swing factors in this fragmented field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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