Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Eurovision Last Place 2026" market reflects bookmakers' grim assessments of the 35 confirmed entries, with Austria's host offering COSMÓ's polarizing electro-pop "Tanzschein"—an ironic club critique with low-budget national final vibes—leading at 28.5% implied probability, closely trailed by the UK's gimmicky experimental "Eins, Zwei, Drei" from LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER (22%). Baltic contenders like Latvia's Atvara ("Ēnā") and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja reunion ("Too Epic To Be True") cluster around 18%, hampered by jury-unfriendly staging previews and minimal international buzz despite domestic wins. Switzerland's ballad "Alice" and Israel's "Michelle" face historical underperformance and potential backlash. With rehearsals imminent before Vienna semis on May 12/14, live impressions and semi qualification risks could swing this fragmented field, where no frontrunner exceeds 30%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEurovisión Last Place 2026
Eurovisión Last Place 2026
Austria 29%
Reino Unido 22%
Polonia 11.2%
Alemania 7%
$69,912 Vol.
$69,912 Vol.

Austria
29%

Reino Unido
22%

Polonia
11%

Alemania
7%

Letonia
19%

San Marino
5%

Bulgaria
4%

Israel
20%

Bélgica
3%

Chequia
3%

Noruega
2%

Italia
2%

Azerbaiyán
2%

Portugal
2%

Moldavia
14%

Dinamarca
1%

Francia
1%

Suecia
1%

Chipre
1%

Ucrania
1%

Croacia
1%

Australia
<1%

Luxemburgo
12%

Armenia
15%

Grecia
<1%

Lituania
16%

Malta
15%

Albania
15%

Estonia
16%

Finlandia
<1%

Georgia
15%

Montenegro
15%

Serbia
7%

Suiza
15%

Rumanía
<1%
Austria 29%
Reino Unido 22%
Polonia 11.2%
Alemania 7%
$69,912 Vol.
$69,912 Vol.

Austria
29%

Reino Unido
22%

Polonia
11%

Alemania
7%

Letonia
19%

San Marino
5%

Bulgaria
4%

Israel
20%

Bélgica
3%

Chequia
3%

Noruega
2%

Italia
2%

Azerbaiyán
2%

Portugal
2%

Moldavia
14%

Dinamarca
1%

Francia
1%

Suecia
1%

Chipre
1%

Ucrania
1%

Croacia
1%

Australia
<1%

Luxemburgo
12%

Armenia
15%

Grecia
<1%

Lituania
16%

Malta
15%

Albania
15%

Estonia
16%

Finlandia
<1%

Georgia
15%

Montenegro
15%

Serbia
7%

Suiza
15%

Rumanía
<1%
If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Eurovision Last Place 2026" market reflects bookmakers' grim assessments of the 35 confirmed entries, with Austria's host offering COSMÓ's polarizing electro-pop "Tanzschein"—an ironic club critique with low-budget national final vibes—leading at 28.5% implied probability, closely trailed by the UK's gimmicky experimental "Eins, Zwei, Drei" from LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER (22%). Baltic contenders like Latvia's Atvara ("Ēnā") and Estonia's Vanilla Ninja reunion ("Too Epic To Be True") cluster around 18%, hampered by jury-unfriendly staging previews and minimal international buzz despite domestic wins. Switzerland's ballad "Alice" and Israel's "Michelle" face historical underperformance and potential backlash. With rehearsals imminent before Vienna semis on May 12/14, live impressions and semi qualification risks could swing this fragmented field, where no frontrunner exceeds 30%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes