Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen commands trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability, fueled by its UMK national final triumph in late February, broad jury-public appeal blending classical strings with catchy pop, and dominant fan polls plus bookmaker rankings through recent pre-parties like London Eurovision Party. Greece's high-energy "Ferto" by Akylas follows at 15.7%, surging on televote potential after its Sing for Greece win, while Denmark's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12.7% via unanimous Melodi Grand Prix victory but faces public vote skepticism post-pre-party buzz. France edges at 9.0% as a jury frontrunner amid sophisticated staging previews. With first rehearsals underway in Vienna ahead of May 12-16 semis and final, staging reveals and running order dynamics could shift this wide-open field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de Eurovisión 2026
Ganador de Eurovisión 2026
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.7%
Dinamarca 12.7%
Francia 9.0%
$123,466,446 Vol.
$123,466,446 Vol.
Finlandia
35%
Grecia
16%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
9%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Suecia
3%
Italia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Ucrania
1%
Malta
1%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.7%
Dinamarca 12.7%
Francia 9.0%
$123,466,446 Vol.
$123,466,446 Vol.
Finlandia
35%
Grecia
16%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
9%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Suecia
3%
Italia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Ucrania
1%
Malta
1%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen commands trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability, fueled by its UMK national final triumph in late February, broad jury-public appeal blending classical strings with catchy pop, and dominant fan polls plus bookmaker rankings through recent pre-parties like London Eurovision Party. Greece's high-energy "Ferto" by Akylas follows at 15.7%, surging on televote potential after its Sing for Greece win, while Denmark's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12.7% via unanimous Melodi Grand Prix victory but faces public vote skepticism post-pre-party buzz. France edges at 9.0% as a jury frontrunner amid sophisticated staging previews. With first rehearsals underway in Vienna ahead of May 12-16 semis and final, staging reveals and running order dynamics could shift this wide-open field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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