Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability following its commanding UMK 2026 victory in late February, fueled by the duo's viral violin-pop fusion, strong pre-party buzz, and Nordic historical televote strength in Vienna-hosted contests. Greece's Akylas holds second at 15.8% with "Ferto," boosted by a fresh "Super Ferto" remix last week that spiked streams and showcased genre-shifting production appealing to juries. Denmark's emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund (12.6%) gains from Melodi Grand Prix momentum and heartfelt staging, while France's Big Five auto-qualifier Monroe's "Regarde!" (9.3%) benefits from polished chanson vibes but trails in early polls. With national selections complete and first rehearsals imminent, the wide field reflects jury-televote splits and wildcard surges from Australia and Israel.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de Eurovisión 2026
Ganador de Eurovisión 2026
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.8%
Dinamarca 12.6%
Francia 9.3%
$121,962,665 Vol.
$121,962,665 Vol.
Finlandia
35%
Grecia
16%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
9%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Italia
3%
Suecia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Malta
2%
Ucrania
1%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.8%
Dinamarca 12.6%
Francia 9.3%
$121,962,665 Vol.
$121,962,665 Vol.
Finlandia
35%
Grecia
16%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
9%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Italia
3%
Suecia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Malta
2%
Ucrania
1%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen leads trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability following its commanding UMK 2026 victory in late February, fueled by the duo's viral violin-pop fusion, strong pre-party buzz, and Nordic historical televote strength in Vienna-hosted contests. Greece's Akylas holds second at 15.8% with "Ferto," boosted by a fresh "Super Ferto" remix last week that spiked streams and showcased genre-shifting production appealing to juries. Denmark's emotive ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund (12.6%) gains from Melodi Grand Prix momentum and heartfelt staging, while France's Big Five auto-qualifier Monroe's "Regarde!" (9.3%) benefits from polished chanson vibes but trails in early polls. With national selections complete and first rehearsals imminent, the wide field reflects jury-televote splits and wildcard surges from Australia and Israel.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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