Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 33.9% implied probability with their jury-friendly "Liekinheitin," a violin-pop fusion that dominated Finland's UMK national final in late February and tops bookmakers, fan polls, and OGAE votes after strong pre-party buzz and first rehearsal clips released last week. Greece's Akylas follows at 17.1% on electrifying "Ferto," a televote powerhouse earning 12 points from Romania's OGAE tally, while Denmark surges to 12.6% amid recent odds climbs post-pre-parties, buoyed by staging potential. France (8.2%) and Australia (6.2%) hold via critical reception, but Israel's televote momentum (4.8%) adds volatility in this wide-open field. Rehearsals kick off this week ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on the 16th, where jury-televote splits could spark upsets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de Eurovisión 2026
Ganador de Eurovisión 2026
Finlandia 33.9%
Grecia 17.1%
Dinamarca 12.6%
Francia 8.2%
$121,200,302 Vol.
$121,200,302 Vol.
Finlandia
34%
Grecia
17%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
8%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Suecia
3%
Italia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Ucrania
1%
Malta
1%
Chipre
1%
Chequia
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Finlandia 33.9%
Grecia 17.1%
Dinamarca 12.6%
Francia 8.2%
$121,200,302 Vol.
$121,200,302 Vol.
Finlandia
34%
Grecia
17%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
8%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Suecia
3%
Italia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Ucrania
1%
Malta
1%
Chipre
1%
Chequia
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 33.9% implied probability with their jury-friendly "Liekinheitin," a violin-pop fusion that dominated Finland's UMK national final in late February and tops bookmakers, fan polls, and OGAE votes after strong pre-party buzz and first rehearsal clips released last week. Greece's Akylas follows at 17.1% on electrifying "Ferto," a televote powerhouse earning 12 points from Romania's OGAE tally, while Denmark surges to 12.6% amid recent odds climbs post-pre-parties, buoyed by staging potential. France (8.2%) and Australia (6.2%) hold via critical reception, but Israel's televote momentum (4.8%) adds volatility in this wide-open field. Rehearsals kick off this week ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on the 16th, where jury-televote splits could spark upsets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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