Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability with their violin-pop fusion "Liekinheitin," a haunting standout since its February national final win that has dominated bookmakers, OGAE fan votes, and pre-party buzz, blending classical flair with Nordic appeal likely to sway juries while captivating televoters. Greece's Akylas follows at 15.8% on the upbeat "Ferto," a televote powerhouse from its early February selection, surging via diaspora support and viral clips despite jury skepticism. Denmark (12.7%) and France (9.3%) hold as dark horses with ethereal entries praised in previews, but the fragmented field underscores rehearsal volatility starting this week—staging reveals and semi-final qualifiers on May 12-14 could ignite upsets before Vienna's May 16 grand final.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de Eurovisión 2026
Ganador de Eurovisión 2026
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.8%
Dinamarca 12.7%
Francia 9.2%
$123,382,612 Vol.
$123,382,612 Vol.
Finlandia
35%
Grecia
16%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
9%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Suecia
3%
Italia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Malta
2%
Ucrania
1%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.8%
Dinamarca 12.7%
Francia 9.2%
$123,382,612 Vol.
$123,382,612 Vol.
Finlandia
35%
Grecia
16%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
9%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Suecia
3%
Italia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Malta
2%
Ucrania
1%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability with their violin-pop fusion "Liekinheitin," a haunting standout since its February national final win that has dominated bookmakers, OGAE fan votes, and pre-party buzz, blending classical flair with Nordic appeal likely to sway juries while captivating televoters. Greece's Akylas follows at 15.8% on the upbeat "Ferto," a televote powerhouse from its early February selection, surging via diaspora support and viral clips despite jury skepticism. Denmark (12.7%) and France (9.3%) hold as dark horses with ethereal entries praised in previews, but the fragmented field underscores rehearsal volatility starting this week—staging reveals and semi-final qualifiers on May 12-14 could ignite upsets before Vienna's May 16 grand final.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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