Finland commands a 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 victory in Vienna, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's explosive "Liekinheitin"—a violin-pop powerhouse that triumphed in Finland's UMK national final amid protests, dominating bookmakers, fan polls, and OGAE votes for its jury-televote balance. Greece's Akylas with the unapologetic "Ferto" holds 15.8% on massive televote potential from Sing for Greece hype, while Denmark's haunting entry surges to 12.6% via pre-party momentum, edging France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 9.3%. This wide-open field underscores rehearsal volatility ahead of May 12-16 semis and grand final, where live performances could reshape trader sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de Eurovisión 2026
Ganador de Eurovisión 2026
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.8%
Dinamarca 12.6%
Francia 9.3%
$121,689,675 Vol.
$121,689,675 Vol.
16 may 2026
Finlandia
35%
Grecia
16%
Dinamarca
13%
Francia
9%
Australia
6%
Israel
5%
Italia
3%
Suecia
3%
Rumanía
3%
Malta
2%
Ucrania
1%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Moldavia
1%
Alemania
<1%
Luxemburgo
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Suiza
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Polonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Finlandia 34.8%
Grecia 15.8%
Dinamarca 12.6%
Francia 9.3%
$121,689,675 Vol.
$121,689,675 Vol.
16 may 2026
Finlandia
$4,041,269 Vol.
35%
Grecia
$2,283,504 Vol.
16%
Dinamarca
$1,871,698 Vol.
13%
Francia
$2,421,372 Vol.
9%
Australia
$1,953,978 Vol.
6%
Israel
$2,078,633 Vol.
5%
Italia
$2,805,066 Vol.
3%
Suecia
$1,688,547 Vol.
3%
Rumanía
$1,965,019 Vol.
3%
Malta
$2,676,211 Vol.
2%
Ucrania
$1,980,749 Vol.
1%
Chequia
$1,452,385 Vol.
1%
Chipre
$1,921,058 Vol.
1%
Bulgaria
$2,107,932 Vol.
1%
Croacia
$2,731,267 Vol.
1%
Moldavia
$2,709,132 Vol.
1%
Alemania
$2,569,820 Vol.
<1%
Luxemburgo
$2,838,268 Vol.
<1%
Noruega
$3,556,940 Vol.
<1%
Bélgica
$3,164,318 Vol.
<1%
Lituania
$3,940,362 Vol.
<1%
Serbia
$3,887,007 Vol.
<1%
Suiza
$4,562,790 Vol.
<1%
Reino Unido
$2,634,434 Vol.
<1%
Albania
$5,311,243 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$6,271,767 Vol.
<1%
Estonia
$5,437,333 Vol.
<1%
Letonia
$4,546,234 Vol.
<1%
Portugal
$4,587,984 Vol.
<1%
Armenia
$5,354,871 Vol.
<1%
Azerbaiyán
$5,301,348 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$5,454,097 Vol.
<1%
Polonia
$4,728,424 Vol.
<1%
San Marino
$5,458,688 Vol.
<1%
Montenegro
$5,465,980 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 victory in Vienna, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's explosive "Liekinheitin"—a violin-pop powerhouse that triumphed in Finland's UMK national final amid protests, dominating bookmakers, fan polls, and OGAE votes for its jury-televote balance. Greece's Akylas with the unapologetic "Ferto" holds 15.8% on massive televote potential from Sing for Greece hype, while Denmark's haunting entry surges to 12.6% via pre-party momentum, edging France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 9.3%. This wide-open field underscores rehearsal volatility ahead of May 12-16 semis and grand final, where live performances could reshape trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$121,689,675Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands a 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 victory in Vienna, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's explosive "Liekinheitin"—a violin-pop powerhouse that triumphed in Finland's UMK national final amid protests, dominating bookmakers, fan polls, and OGAE votes for its jury-televote balance. Greece's Akylas with the unapologetic "Ferto" holds 15.8% on massive televote potential from Sing for Greece hype, while Denmark's haunting entry surges to 12.6% via pre-party momentum, edging France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 9.3%. This wide-open field underscores rehearsal volatility ahead of May 12-16 semis and grand final, where live performances could reshape trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$121,689,675Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland commands a 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 victory in Vienna, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's explosive "Liekinheitin"—a violin-pop powerhouse that triumphed in Finland's UMK national final amid protests, dominating bookmakers, fan polls, and OGAE votes for its jury-televote balance. Greece's Akylas with the unapologetic "Ferto" holds 15.8% on massive televote potential from Sing for Greece hype, while Denmark's haunting entry surges to 12.6% via pre-party momentum, edging France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 9.3%. This wide-open field underscores rehearsal volatility ahead of May 12-16 semis and grand final, where live performances could reshape trader sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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