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icon for Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal

Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal

icon for Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal

Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal

$287,615 Vol.

14 may 2026
Polymarket

$287,615 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$1,051 Vol.

97%

icon for Australia

Australia

$12,046 Vol.

95%

icon for Ucrania

Ucrania

$1,794 Vol.

95%

icon for Rumanía

Rumanía

$10,770 Vol.

86%

icon for Malta

Malta

$17,303 Vol.

81%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$7,031 Vol.

80%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$26,373 Vol.

78%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$17,176 Vol.

77%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$41,652 Vol.

75%

icon for Albania

Albania

$29,463 Vol.

66%

icon for Suiza

Suiza

$74,699 Vol.

50%

icon for Letonia

Letonia

$4,610 Vol.

41%

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$23,422 Vol.

38%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$13,928 Vol.

38%

icon for Azerbaiyán

Azerbaiyán

$6,296 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final market, set for May 14 in Vienna, heavily favors frontrunners like Denmark, Australia (Delta Goodrem at position 11), and Ukraine (position 12) to qualify for the Grand Final, buoyed by dominant pre-rehearsal televote models, jury-friendly entries, and advantageous running order placements revealed April 2. Data analyses highlight this as the most competitive semi since 2019, with razor-thin margins projected between 8th and 12th (95-110 points), compressing early acts like Bulgaria and Azerbaijan amid a stacked second half featuring Romania, Cyprus, and Norway closing. First rehearsals kick off this week, potentially shifting dynamics through live staging reveals and vocal stability tests, as juries return to semis for the first time since 2022 alongside global televoting.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$287,615
Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final market, set for May 14 in Vienna, heavily favors frontrunners like Denmark, Australia (Delta Goodrem at position 11), and Ukraine (position 12) to qualify for the Grand Final, buoyed by dominant pre-rehearsal televote models, jury-friendly entries, and advantageous running order placements revealed April 2. Data analyses highlight this as the most competitive semi since 2019, with razor-thin margins projected between 8th and 12th (95-110 points), compressing early acts like Bulgaria and Azerbaijan amid a stacked second half featuring Romania, Cyprus, and Norway closing. First rehearsals kick off this week, potentially shifting dynamics through live staging reveals and vocal stability tests, as juries return to semis for the first time since 2022 alongside global televoting.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$287,615
Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Dinamarca" con 97%, seguido de "Australia" con 95%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal" ha generado $287.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal" es "Dinamarca" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Australia" con 95%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.