Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final market, set for May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, heavily favors late-running heavyweights like Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), and Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym") due to their prime second-half positions boosting televote momentum in a field analysts call the most competitive since 2019. An April 24 data model projects razor-thin margins of 95-110 points separating projected 8th-12th placers, compressing early entries like Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") despite strong jury appeal. Rehearsals begin tomorrow (May 2), with first stagings poised to spark volatility as traders eye live polish, costume reveals, and production quality ahead of the top-10 qualifier cutoff. Juries return to semi voting, adding unpredictability to public sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal
Eurovisión 2026: Segunda semifinal
$285,912 Vol.
14 may 2026
Dinamarca
97%
Australia
95%
Ucrania
95%
Rumanía
86%
Malta
81%
Bulgaria
80%
Chipre
78%
Noruega
77%
Chequia
71%
Albania
67%
Suiza
52%
Letonia
45%
Luxemburgo
38%
Armenia
38%
Azerbaiyán
6%
$285,912 Vol.
Dinamarca
$1,051 Vol.
97%
Australia
$12,046 Vol.
95%
Ucrania
$1,793 Vol.
95%
Rumanía
$10,770 Vol.
86%
Malta
$17,303 Vol.
81%
Bulgaria
$7,031 Vol.
80%
Chipre
$26,373 Vol.
78%
Noruega
$17,176 Vol.
77%
Chequia
$40,367 Vol.
71%
Albania
$29,463 Vol.
67%
Suiza
$74,694 Vol.
52%
Letonia
$4,483 Vol.
45%
Luxemburgo
$23,422 Vol.
38%
Armenia
$13,678 Vol.
38%
Azerbaiyán
$6,262 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final market, set for May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, heavily favors late-running heavyweights like Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), and Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym") due to their prime second-half positions boosting televote momentum in a field analysts call the most competitive since 2019. An April 24 data model projects razor-thin margins of 95-110 points separating projected 8th-12th placers, compressing early entries like Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") despite strong jury appeal. Rehearsals begin tomorrow (May 2), with first stagings poised to spark volatility as traders eye live polish, costume reveals, and production quality ahead of the top-10 qualifier cutoff. Juries return to semi voting, adding unpredictability to public sentiment.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$285,912Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final market, set for May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, heavily favors late-running heavyweights like Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), and Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym") due to their prime second-half positions boosting televote momentum in a field analysts call the most competitive since 2019. An April 24 data model projects razor-thin margins of 95-110 points separating projected 8th-12th placers, compressing early entries like Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") despite strong jury appeal. Rehearsals begin tomorrow (May 2), with first stagings poised to spark volatility as traders eye live polish, costume reveals, and production quality ahead of the top-10 qualifier cutoff. Juries return to semi voting, adding unpredictability to public sentiment.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$285,912Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final market, set for May 14 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, heavily favors late-running heavyweights like Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), and Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym") due to their prime second-half positions boosting televote momentum in a field analysts call the most competitive since 2019. An April 24 data model projects razor-thin margins of 95-110 points separating projected 8th-12th placers, compressing early entries like Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") and Romania's Alexandra Căpitănescu ("Choke Me") despite strong jury appeal. Rehearsals begin tomorrow (May 2), with first stagings poised to spark volatility as traders eye live polish, costume reveals, and production quality ahead of the top-10 qualifier cutoff. Juries return to semi voting, adding unpredictability to public sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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