Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54% implied probability of a Bank of Israel rate decrease at the May 28, 2026 monetary policy meeting, reflecting easing inflation pressures and dovish signals from Governor Amir Yaron amid softening economic activity. March 2026 CPI rose 1.9% year-over-year—within the 1-3% target and below the prior 2.0%—while the monthly Index of Economic Activity fell 0.2% in March, per April 29 data, signaling deceleration that bolsters easing expectations after two prior 25 basis point cuts to the current 4.00% policy rate. Recent holds in February and March stemmed from Middle East hostilities and fiscal strains (5.3% GDP deficit forecast), but Yaron's remarks indicate one or two cuts likely as inflation nears the target's 2% midpoint. No-change at 36% accounts for lingering geopolitical risks, with hikes near zero amid subdued price pressures; watch mid-May April CPI for resolution catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?
¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?
Disminución 53%
Sin cambios 35%
Aumento <1%
$24,710 Vol.
$24,710 Vol.
Disminución
53%
Sin cambios
35%
Aumento
1%
Disminución 53%
Sin cambios 35%
Aumento <1%
$24,710 Vol.
$24,710 Vol.
Disminución
53%
Sin cambios
35%
Aumento
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54% implied probability of a Bank of Israel rate decrease at the May 28, 2026 monetary policy meeting, reflecting easing inflation pressures and dovish signals from Governor Amir Yaron amid softening economic activity. March 2026 CPI rose 1.9% year-over-year—within the 1-3% target and below the prior 2.0%—while the monthly Index of Economic Activity fell 0.2% in March, per April 29 data, signaling deceleration that bolsters easing expectations after two prior 25 basis point cuts to the current 4.00% policy rate. Recent holds in February and March stemmed from Middle East hostilities and fiscal strains (5.3% GDP deficit forecast), but Yaron's remarks indicate one or two cuts likely as inflation nears the target's 2% midpoint. No-change at 36% accounts for lingering geopolitical risks, with hikes near zero amid subdued price pressures; watch mid-May April CPI for resolution catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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