Trader consensus on Polymarket favors no change (59.5%) for the Bank of Israel's July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee decision to keep the benchmark interest rate at 4.00%, reflecting the committee's recent holds in February and March amid cooling inflation to 1.9% year-over-year in March—below the 1-3% target—coupled with upgraded growth forecasts following Gaza and Iran ceasefires announced in April. A decrease to 3.75% (34%) remains viable per the bank's forward guidance projecting 3.5-3.75% within a year, driven by subdued economic activity and prior January cut from 4.25%. An increase (11.1%) appears unlikely given low inflation pressures, though geopolitical risks persist; the May 25 decision could shift odds ahead of the July 6 announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin cambios 68%
Disminuir 26%
Aumento 10.7%
Disminuir
26%
Sin cambios
68%
Aumento
11%
Sin cambios 68%
Disminuir 26%
Aumento 10.7%
Disminuir
26%
Sin cambios
68%
Aumento
11%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors no change (59.5%) for the Bank of Israel's July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee decision to keep the benchmark interest rate at 4.00%, reflecting the committee's recent holds in February and March amid cooling inflation to 1.9% year-over-year in March—below the 1-3% target—coupled with upgraded growth forecasts following Gaza and Iran ceasefires announced in April. A decrease to 3.75% (34%) remains viable per the bank's forward guidance projecting 3.5-3.75% within a year, driven by subdued economic activity and prior January cut from 4.25%. An increase (11.1%) appears unlikely given low inflation pressures, though geopolitical risks persist; the May 25 decision could shift odds ahead of the July 6 announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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