Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72.5% implied probability for a Bank of England rate hike sometime in 2026, driven primarily by March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in February—amid energy price surges from Middle East conflict. Despite the Monetary Policy Committee unanimously holding Bank Rate at 3.75% on April 30, sticky inflation above the 2% target, coupled with wage growth near 3.6%, has fueled expectations of tighter monetary policy later this year. Markets now imply around 60 basis points of potential hikes by year-end, contrasting Governor Bailey's caution that such bets remain premature. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 20 and the June 18 MPC meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$24,904 Vol.
$24,904 Vol.
Sí
$24,904 Vol.
$24,904 Vol.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72.5% implied probability for a Bank of England rate hike sometime in 2026, driven primarily by March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in February—amid energy price surges from Middle East conflict. Despite the Monetary Policy Committee unanimously holding Bank Rate at 3.75% on April 30, sticky inflation above the 2% target, coupled with wage growth near 3.6%, has fueled expectations of tighter monetary policy later this year. Markets now imply around 60 basis points of potential hikes by year-end, contrasting Governor Bailey's caution that such bets remain premature. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 20 and the June 18 MPC meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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