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¿Aumento de las tasas del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?

icon for ¿Aumento de las tasas del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?

¿Aumento de las tasas del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?

73% probabilidad
Polymarket

$24,904 Vol.

73% probabilidad
Polymarket

$24,904 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72.5% implied probability for a Bank of England rate hike sometime in 2026, driven primarily by March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in February—amid energy price surges from Middle East conflict. Despite the Monetary Policy Committee unanimously holding Bank Rate at 3.75% on April 30, sticky inflation above the 2% target, coupled with wage growth near 3.6%, has fueled expectations of tighter monetary policy later this year. Markets now imply around 60 basis points of potential hikes by year-end, contrasting Governor Bailey's caution that such bets remain premature. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 20 and the June 18 MPC meeting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$24,904
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72.5% implied probability for a Bank of England rate hike sometime in 2026, driven primarily by March 2026 CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 3.0% in February—amid energy price surges from Middle East conflict. Despite the Monetary Policy Committee unanimously holding Bank Rate at 3.75% on April 30, sticky inflation above the 2% target, coupled with wage growth near 3.6%, has fueled expectations of tighter monetary policy later this year. Markets now imply around 60 basis points of potential hikes by year-end, contrasting Governor Bailey's caution that such bets remain premature. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 20 and the June 18 MPC meeting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$24,904
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Aumento de las tasas del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Subida de tipos del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?" con 73%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 73¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Aumento de las tasas del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?" ha generado $24.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Aumento de las tasas del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Aumento de las tasas del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?" es "¿Subida de tipos del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?" con 73%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Aumento de las tasas del Banco de Inglaterra en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.