Polymarket traders have priced a razor-thin implied probability of 51.5% for no change in the Bank of Israel's May 25 benchmark interest rate at 4.00%, nearly matched by 48.5% odds of a 25 basis point decrease, reflecting dueling forces of cooling inflation and entrenched risks. March 2026 CPI eased unexpectedly to 1.9% year-over-year—within the 1-3% target—bolstered by a 7% shekel strengthening against the USD and low unemployment near 3%, fueling cut bets. Countering this, ongoing Iran conflict escalation since February, fiscal budget delays, and a March economic activity index dip of 0.2% sustain hold sentiment, per recent BoI statements and staff forecasts projecting 3.8% GDP growth amid uncertainty. April CPI and activity data will be pivotal swing factors ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?
¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?
Sin cambios 51%
Disminución 49%
Aumento 1.0%
$24,820 Vol.
$24,820 Vol.
Disminución
49%
Sin cambios
51%
Aumento
1%
Sin cambios 51%
Disminución 49%
Aumento 1.0%
$24,820 Vol.
$24,820 Vol.
Disminución
49%
Sin cambios
51%
Aumento
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders have priced a razor-thin implied probability of 51.5% for no change in the Bank of Israel's May 25 benchmark interest rate at 4.00%, nearly matched by 48.5% odds of a 25 basis point decrease, reflecting dueling forces of cooling inflation and entrenched risks. March 2026 CPI eased unexpectedly to 1.9% year-over-year—within the 1-3% target—bolstered by a 7% shekel strengthening against the USD and low unemployment near 3%, fueling cut bets. Countering this, ongoing Iran conflict escalation since February, fiscal budget delays, and a March economic activity index dip of 0.2% sustain hold sentiment, per recent BoI statements and staff forecasts projecting 3.8% GDP growth amid uncertainty. April CPI and activity data will be pivotal swing factors ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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