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Economía·Sudáfrica

¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?

icon for ¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?
Economía·Sudáfrica

¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?

may 28

may 28

Sin cambios 48%

Aumento 46.4%

Disminución 11.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Sin cambios 48%

Aumento 46.4%

Disminución 11.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Disminución

$1,470 Vol.

12%

Sin cambios

$3,032 Vol.

48%

Aumento

$3,088 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 46.7% implied probability for a South African Reserve Bank (SARB) repo rate increase at the upcoming May 28 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, edging out no change at 41.5%, with a cut at 11.8%, reflecting balanced risks amid sticky inflation pressures. March 2026 consumer price inflation edged up to 3.1% year-over-year from 3.0% in February—within the 3-6% target but aligning with SARB's forecast of a Q2 peak at 4.3% driven by Middle East tensions and elevated energy costs—prompting caution after the March hold at 6.75%. Modest GDP growth projections of 1.6% for 2026 and unemployment near 32% temper hike urgency, while rand volatility and April CPI data due soon could sway positioning ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$7,590
Fecha de finalización
28 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 46.7% implied probability for a South African Reserve Bank (SARB) repo rate increase at the upcoming May 28 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, edging out no change at 41.5%, with a cut at 11.8%, reflecting balanced risks amid sticky inflation pressures. March 2026 consumer price inflation edged up to 3.1% year-over-year from 3.0% in February—within the 3-6% target but aligning with SARB's forecast of a Q2 peak at 4.3% driven by Middle East tensions and elevated energy costs—prompting caution after the March hold at 6.75%. Modest GDP growth projections of 1.6% for 2026 and unemployment near 32% temper hike urgency, while rand volatility and April CPI data due soon could sway positioning ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$7,590
Fecha de finalización
28 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sin cambios" con 48%, seguido de "Aumento" con 46%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?" es "Sin cambios" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Aumento" con 46%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco de la Reserva de Sudáfrica en mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.