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Sports·UFC

Ariane Carnelossi vs Ketlen Souza

Polymarket
Ariane Carnelossi
Ariane Carnelossi
5:00 PMJune 6
Ketlen Souza
Ketlen Souza
$42.26K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$29.6K Vol.

Totals

$12.6K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$66 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Carnelossi to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Souza to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Ariane Carnelossi" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ariane Carnelossi defeats Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ketlen Souza defeats Ariane Carnelossi at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Ketlen Souza enters this strawweight rematch as the clear favorite, riding momentum from a unanimous decision win over Bruna Brasil in February that showcased improved striking volume and fight IQ since her earlier loss to Carnelossi. The 2019 encounter ended with Carnelossi landing a decisive body-kick TKO, but Souza has since compiled additional UFC experience and a stronger recent record. Carnelossi, coming off a submission defeat in her prior outing, brings proven finishing power and aggressive output but faces questions about durability against a more seasoned opponent. Both fighters bring comparable overall records and Brazilian strawweight pedigrees into the Apex bout, with the outcome likely hinging on whether Souza can neutralize early pressure and impose her improved pace over three rounds.

This market will resolve to "Ariane Carnelossi" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$42,246
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Ariane Carnelossi" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Souza vs. Carnelossi” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Ketlen Souza and the Ariane Carnelossi, scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Souza is currently priced at 76¢ (76% implied probability) and Carnelossi at 25¢ (25%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Souza vs. Carnelossi” market has generated $42.2K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Souza vs. Carnelossi,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows KET1 at 76¢ and ARI1 at 25¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Souza vs. Carnelossi” show Ketlen Souza at 76¢ (76% implied probability) and Ariane Carnelossi at 25¢ (25%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Souza vs. Carnelossi” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Ariane Carnelossi vs Ketlen Souza

Polymarket
Ariane Carnelossi
Ariane Carnelossi
5:00 PMJune 6
Ketlen Souza
Ketlen Souza
$42.26K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$29.6K Vol.

Totals

$12.6K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$66 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Carnelossi to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Souza to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Ariane Carnelossi" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ariane Carnelossi defeats Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ketlen Souza defeats Ariane Carnelossi at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Ketlen Souza enters this strawweight rematch as the clear favorite, riding momentum from a unanimous decision win over Bruna Brasil in February that showcased improved striking volume and fight IQ since her earlier loss to Carnelossi. The 2019 encounter ended with Carnelossi landing a decisive body-kick TKO, but Souza has since compiled additional UFC experience and a stronger recent record. Carnelossi, coming off a submission defeat in her prior outing, brings proven finishing power and aggressive output but faces questions about durability against a more seasoned opponent. Both fighters bring comparable overall records and Brazilian strawweight pedigrees into the Apex bout, with the outcome likely hinging on whether Souza can neutralize early pressure and impose her improved pace over three rounds.

This market will resolve to "Ariane Carnelossi" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$42,246
End Date
Jun 7, 2026
Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Ariane Carnelossi" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Souza vs. Carnelossi” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Ketlen Souza and the Ariane Carnelossi, scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Souza is currently priced at 76¢ (76% implied probability) and Carnelossi at 25¢ (25%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Souza vs. Carnelossi” market has generated $42.2K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Souza vs. Carnelossi,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows KET1 at 76¢ and ARI1 at 25¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Souza vs. Carnelossi” show Ketlen Souza at 76¢ (76% implied probability) and Ariane Carnelossi at 25¢ (25%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Souza vs. Carnelossi” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.