The League Two play-off final at Wembley pits Notts County against Salford City for promotion to League One, with both sides advancing through tight semi-finals. Notts County edged Chesterfield 1-0 on aggregate after a first-leg win, while Salford City overcame Grimsby Town 4-3 on aggregate in extra time during the second leg. Salford finished higher in the regular-season table and secured both league meetings 2-1, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches. Notts County showed resilience in the knockouts despite a mixed end to the campaign. These factors, combined with the high-stakes single-match format and historical patterns in play-off finals, underpin the closely bunched implied probabilities across the three outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Notts County FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 5:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.efl.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Notts County FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 5:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.efl.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The League Two play-off final at Wembley pits Notts County against Salford City for promotion to League One, with both sides advancing through tight semi-finals. Notts County edged Chesterfield 1-0 on aggregate after a first-leg win, while Salford City overcame Grimsby Town 4-3 on aggregate in extra time during the second leg. Salford finished higher in the regular-season table and secured both league meetings 2-1, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches. Notts County showed resilience in the knockouts despite a mixed end to the campaign. These factors, combined with the high-stakes single-match format and historical patterns in play-off finals, underpin the closely bunched implied probabilities across the three outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions