The tightly bunched probabilities among Spain, France, England, Argentina, and Portugal reflect a wide-open field heading into the expanded 48-team tournament, where recent roster finalizations and injury recoveries have kept multiple contenders viable. Spain edges the consensus on the strength of its attacking depth and recent results, while France benefits from defensive solidity and experience in deep runs. England’s positioning accounts for squad fatigue concerns under new leadership, and defending champion Argentina remains competitive despite Lionel Messi’s hamstring management. Brazil and others trail amid reported roster setbacks, with pre-tournament friendlies and final squad confirmations in early June shaping the current distribution of implied probabilities across the top group.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 16.4%
España 16.0%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Portugal 9.3%
$1,576,037,682 Vol.
$1,576,037,682 Vol.

Francia
16%

España
16%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
9%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Alemania
5%

Países Bajos
4%

Noruega
3%

Bélgica
2%

Japón
2%

Colombia
2%

México
2%

Marruecos
2%

Turquía
1%

USA
1%

Uruguay
1%

Suiza
1%

Ecuador
1%

Croacia
1%

Senegal
1%

Costa de Marfil
1%

Austria
1%

Suecia
1%

Canadá
<1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Escocia
<1%

Chequia
<1%

Irán
<1%

Argelia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Egipto
<1%

Nueva Zelanda
<1%

Haití
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%

Túnez
<1%

Uzbekistán
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Irak
<1%

Sudáfrica
<1%

RD del Congo
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francia 16.4%
España 16.0%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Portugal 9.3%
$1,576,037,682 Vol.
$1,576,037,682 Vol.

Francia
16%

España
16%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
9%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Alemania
5%

Países Bajos
4%

Noruega
3%

Bélgica
2%

Japón
2%

Colombia
2%

México
2%

Marruecos
2%

Turquía
1%

USA
1%

Uruguay
1%

Suiza
1%

Ecuador
1%

Croacia
1%

Senegal
1%

Costa de Marfil
1%

Austria
1%

Suecia
1%

Canadá
<1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Escocia
<1%

Chequia
<1%

Irán
<1%

Argelia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Egipto
<1%

Nueva Zelanda
<1%

Haití
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%

Túnez
<1%

Uzbekistán
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Irak
<1%

Sudáfrica
<1%

RD del Congo
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities among Spain, France, England, Argentina, and Portugal reflect a wide-open field heading into the expanded 48-team tournament, where recent roster finalizations and injury recoveries have kept multiple contenders viable. Spain edges the consensus on the strength of its attacking depth and recent results, while France benefits from defensive solidity and experience in deep runs. England’s positioning accounts for squad fatigue concerns under new leadership, and defending champion Argentina remains competitive despite Lionel Messi’s hamstring management. Brazil and others trail amid reported roster setbacks, with pre-tournament friendlies and final squad confirmations in early June shaping the current distribution of implied probabilities across the top group.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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