The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format features 48 nations in 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers per group plus the eight best third-placed sides advancing from the group stage to the round of 32 before reaching the round of 16. Early June results have shaped initial momentum, including Mexico’s 2-0 victory over South Africa and South Korea’s 2-1 win against Czechia in Group A, the United States’ 4-1 defeat of Paraguay in Group D, and Germany’s dominant 7-1 rout of Curaçao in Group E. Squad depth, recent international form, and head-to-head records against group opponents remain central drivers, alongside any late fitness updates from official team reports ahead of remaining group fixtures. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing captures these factors along with historical qualification trends for comparable nations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$714,865 Vol.

France
83%

Spain
82%

Germany
78%

England
78%

Portugal
76%

Argentina
72%

USA
67%

Brazil
66%

Belgium
65%

Mexico
62%

Netherlands
58%

Colombia
54%

Norway
53%

Morocco
52%

Switzerland
51%

South Korea
47%

Ivory Coast
47%

Uruguay
43%

Japan
43%

Croatia
43%

Canada
40%

Ecuador
38%

Australia
35%

Egypt
32%

Senegal
29%

Sweden
27%

Austria
27%

Turkiye
26%

Scotland
22%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
21%

Algeria
20%

Iran
20%

Czechia
15%

Ghana
14%

Paraguay
13%

DR Congo
12%

Tunisia
9%

Saudi Arabia
9%

Panama
8%

Uzbekistan
7%

Iraq
8%

South Africa
7%

New Zealand
6%

Cape Verde
5%

Haiti
5%

Qatar
4%

Curacao
4%

Jordan
2%
$714,865 Vol.

France
83%

Spain
82%

Germany
78%

England
78%

Portugal
76%

Argentina
72%

USA
67%

Brazil
66%

Belgium
65%

Mexico
62%

Netherlands
58%

Colombia
54%

Norway
53%

Morocco
52%

Switzerland
51%

South Korea
47%

Ivory Coast
47%

Uruguay
43%

Japan
43%

Croatia
43%

Canada
40%

Ecuador
38%

Australia
35%

Egypt
32%

Senegal
29%

Sweden
27%

Austria
27%

Turkiye
26%

Scotland
22%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
21%

Algeria
20%

Iran
20%

Czechia
15%

Ghana
14%

Paraguay
13%

DR Congo
12%

Tunisia
9%

Saudi Arabia
9%

Panama
8%

Uzbekistan
7%

Iraq
8%

South Africa
7%

New Zealand
6%

Cape Verde
5%

Haiti
5%

Qatar
4%

Curacao
4%

Jordan
2%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 10:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format features 48 nations in 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers per group plus the eight best third-placed sides advancing from the group stage to the round of 32 before reaching the round of 16. Early June results have shaped initial momentum, including Mexico’s 2-0 victory over South Africa and South Korea’s 2-1 win against Czechia in Group A, the United States’ 4-1 defeat of Paraguay in Group D, and Germany’s dominant 7-1 rout of Curaçao in Group E. Squad depth, recent international form, and head-to-head records against group opponents remain central drivers, alongside any late fitness updates from official team reports ahead of remaining group fixtures. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing captures these factors along with historical qualification trends for comparable nations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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