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icon for World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

icon for World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

$714,865 Vol.

Jul 4, 2026
Polymarket

$714,865 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for France

France

$99,199 Vol.

83%

icon for Spain

Spain

$50,047 Vol.

82%

icon for Germany

Germany

$43,205 Vol.

78%

icon for England

England

$45,995 Vol.

78%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$52,165 Vol.

76%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$26,847 Vol.

72%

icon for USA

USA

$16,215 Vol.

67%

icon for Brazil

Brazil

$30,702 Vol.

66%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$23,476 Vol.

65%

icon for Mexico

Mexico

$27,728 Vol.

62%

icon for Netherlands

Netherlands

$13,977 Vol.

58%

icon for Colombia

Colombia

$12,776 Vol.

54%

icon for Norway

Norway

$12,072 Vol.

53%

icon for Morocco

Morocco

$25,376 Vol.

52%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$13,776 Vol.

51%

icon for South Korea

South Korea

$17,056 Vol.

47%

icon for Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

$7,959 Vol.

47%

icon for Uruguay

Uruguay

$3,472 Vol.

43%

icon for Japan

Japan

$29,147 Vol.

43%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$4,442 Vol.

43%

icon for Canada

Canada

$7,252 Vol.

40%

icon for Ecuador

Ecuador

$11,472 Vol.

38%

icon for Australia

Australia

$3,102 Vol.

35%

icon for Egypt

Egypt

$6,894 Vol.

32%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$8,817 Vol.

29%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$970 Vol.

27%

icon for Austria

Austria

$5,255 Vol.

27%

icon for Turkiye

Turkiye

$24,643 Vol.

26%

icon for Scotland

Scotland

$5,882 Vol.

22%

icon for Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$1,851 Vol.

21%

icon for Algeria

Algeria

$1,587 Vol.

20%

icon for Iran

Iran

$7,002 Vol.

20%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$536 Vol.

15%

icon for Ghana

Ghana

$16,443 Vol.

14%

icon for Paraguay

Paraguay

$2,725 Vol.

13%

icon for DR Congo

DR Congo

$1,686 Vol.

12%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$372 Vol.

9%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$7,388 Vol.

9%

icon for Panama

Panama

$1,886 Vol.

8%

icon for Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

$1,411 Vol.

7%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$1,159 Vol.

8%

icon for South Africa

South Africa

$15,650 Vol.

7%

icon for New Zealand

New Zealand

$5,818 Vol.

6%

icon for Cape Verde

Cape Verde

$919 Vol.

5%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$1,016 Vol.

5%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$17,398 Vol.

4%

icon for Curacao

Curacao

$257 Vol.

4%

icon for Jordan

Jordan

$412 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format features 48 nations in 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers per group plus the eight best third-placed sides advancing from the group stage to the round of 32 before reaching the round of 16. Early June results have shaped initial momentum, including Mexico’s 2-0 victory over South Africa and South Korea’s 2-1 win against Czechia in Group A, the United States’ 4-1 defeat of Paraguay in Group D, and Germany’s dominant 7-1 rout of Curaçao in Group E. Squad depth, recent international form, and head-to-head records against group opponents remain central drivers, alongside any late fitness updates from official team reports ahead of remaining group fixtures. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing captures these factors along with historical qualification trends for comparable nations.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$714,865
End Date
Jul 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 10:52 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format features 48 nations in 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers per group plus the eight best third-placed sides advancing from the group stage to the round of 32 before reaching the round of 16. Early June results have shaped initial momentum, including Mexico’s 2-0 victory over South Africa and South Korea’s 2-1 win against Czechia in Group A, the United States’ 4-1 defeat of Paraguay in Group D, and Germany’s dominant 7-1 rout of Curaçao in Group E. Squad depth, recent international form, and head-to-head records against group opponents remain central drivers, alongside any late fitness updates from official team reports ahead of remaining group fixtures. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing captures these factors along with historical qualification trends for comparable nations.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$714,865
End Date
Jul 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 10:52 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "France" at 83%, followed by "Spain" at 82%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16" has generated $714.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16" is "France" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Spain" at 82%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.