Trader consensus heavily favors no quadruple-double for Victor Wembanyama at 96.3% implied probability, reflecting the extreme rarity of the feat—unchanged since David Robinson's in 1994—amid the 2025-26 NBA season's advanced stage. With the regular season concluded after 82 games where Wembanyama averaged 25.0 points, 11.5 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 1.0 steals, and 3.1 blocks across 64 appearances, he logged multiple triple-doubles but never hit 10-plus in four categories. In the playoffs, the Spurs dispatched Portland 4-1 in the first round, highlighted by Wembanyama's 27 points, 11 boards, seven blocks, four steals, and three assists in Game 4 post-concussion, yet still short. Low assist and steal volume in high-stakes games, plus historical precedent, drives the pricing, though a deep Spurs playoff run with a stat-padding blowout could theoretically shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$122,786 Vol.
$122,786 Vol.
$122,786 Vol.
$122,786 Vol.
A 'quadruple-double' is defined as, in a single game, achieving double digits in four of the following categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as Victor Wembanyama is confirmed to have recorded a quadruple double. Stat corrections or other post-game adjustments made after the initial box score is published will not be considered.
If Victor Wembanyama has not recorded a quadruple double, and either it is officially announced by his team that he will miss the remainder of the season, or his team is eliminated from the NBA season, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official NBA game statistics as reported on NBA.com.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 10:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A 'quadruple-double' is defined as, in a single game, achieving double digits in four of the following categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as Victor Wembanyama is confirmed to have recorded a quadruple double. Stat corrections or other post-game adjustments made after the initial box score is published will not be considered.
If Victor Wembanyama has not recorded a quadruple double, and either it is officially announced by his team that he will miss the remainder of the season, or his team is eliminated from the NBA season, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official NBA game statistics as reported on NBA.com.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no quadruple-double for Victor Wembanyama at 96.3% implied probability, reflecting the extreme rarity of the feat—unchanged since David Robinson's in 1994—amid the 2025-26 NBA season's advanced stage. With the regular season concluded after 82 games where Wembanyama averaged 25.0 points, 11.5 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 1.0 steals, and 3.1 blocks across 64 appearances, he logged multiple triple-doubles but never hit 10-plus in four categories. In the playoffs, the Spurs dispatched Portland 4-1 in the first round, highlighted by Wembanyama's 27 points, 11 boards, seven blocks, four steals, and three assists in Game 4 post-concussion, yet still short. Low assist and steal volume in high-stakes games, plus historical precedent, drives the pricing, though a deep Spurs playoff run with a stat-padding blowout could theoretically shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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