Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and drive for absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape expectations for further removals in 2026. In January 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli for “serious violations of discipline,” following earlier 2025 purges of He Weidong, Miao Hua, and others that left the CMC severely depleted. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case against former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, underscore the campaign’s reach into both military and civilian ranks. With over one million discipline cases filed in 2025 and the 21st Party Congress approaching in 2027, traders focus on patterns of targeting Xi appointees, institutional consolidation, and signals of potential escalation before year-end leadership reviews.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$172,562 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
9%
Li Xi
8%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
6%
Wang Yi
6%
Wang Huning
11%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Cai Qi
4%
$172,562 Vol.
Dong Jun
$35,353 Vol.
9%
Li Xi
$25,863 Vol.
8%
Zhang Shengmin
$22,771 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$7,525 Vol.
6%
Wang Yi
$12,880 Vol.
6%
Wang Huning
$10,806 Vol.
11%
Ding Xuexiang
$14,818 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$5,999 Vol.
4%
Cai Qi
$36,547 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and drive for absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape expectations for further removals in 2026. In January 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli for “serious violations of discipline,” following earlier 2025 purges of He Weidong, Miao Hua, and others that left the CMC severely depleted. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case against former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, underscore the campaign’s reach into both military and civilian ranks. With over one million discipline cases filed in 2025 and the 21st Party Congress approaching in 2027, traders focus on patterns of targeting Xi appointees, institutional consolidation, and signals of potential escalation before year-end leadership reviews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$172,562Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and drive for absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape expectations for further removals in 2026. In January 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli for “serious violations of discipline,” following earlier 2025 purges of He Weidong, Miao Hua, and others that left the CMC severely depleted. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case against former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, underscore the campaign’s reach into both military and civilian ranks. With over one million discipline cases filed in 2025 and the 21st Party Congress approaching in 2027, traders focus on patterns of targeting Xi appointees, institutional consolidation, and signals of potential escalation before year-end leadership reviews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$172,562Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and drive for absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to shape expectations for further removals in 2026. In January 2026, investigations targeted senior Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli for “serious violations of discipline,” following earlier 2025 purges of He Weidong, Miao Hua, and others that left the CMC severely depleted. Additional probes, such as the April 2026 case against former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui, underscore the campaign’s reach into both military and civilian ranks. With over one million discipline cases filed in 2025 and the 21st Party Congress approaching in 2027, traders focus on patterns of targeting Xi appointees, institutional consolidation, and signals of potential escalation before year-end leadership reviews.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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