Trader consensus heavily favors Merab Dvalishvili at 74.5% implied probability for Petr Yan's next UFC bantamweight bout, driven by their high-stakes rivalry—Yan reclaimed the title via unanimous decision over Dvalishvili in the UFC 323 main event last December, positioning the Georgian as the clear No. 2 contender in official rankings. Both fighters have voiced eagerness for a trilogy, with Dvalishvili confirming UFC discussions for a summer rematch amid Yan's recovery from January back surgery, now cleared for full training. Sean O'Malley trails at 13.7% after his recent UFC 324 decision win over Song Yadong and direct callout, while Umar Nurmagomedov garners 6.5% as a rising threat, reflecting Yan's title defense path shaped by recent form, health updates, and matchmaking buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMerab Dvalishvili 75%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.9%
Sean O’Malley 3.1%
Payton Talbott 3.0%
$1,034,002 Vol.
$1,034,002 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
75%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Sean O’Malley
14%
Payton Talbott
3%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Song Yadong
1%
Rob Font
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 75%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.9%
Sean O’Malley 3.1%
Payton Talbott 3.0%
$1,034,002 Vol.
$1,034,002 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
75%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Sean O’Malley
14%
Payton Talbott
3%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Song Yadong
1%
Rob Font
<1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Merab Dvalishvili at 74.5% implied probability for Petr Yan's next UFC bantamweight bout, driven by their high-stakes rivalry—Yan reclaimed the title via unanimous decision over Dvalishvili in the UFC 323 main event last December, positioning the Georgian as the clear No. 2 contender in official rankings. Both fighters have voiced eagerness for a trilogy, with Dvalishvili confirming UFC discussions for a summer rematch amid Yan's recovery from January back surgery, now cleared for full training. Sean O'Malley trails at 13.7% after his recent UFC 324 decision win over Song Yadong and direct callout, while Umar Nurmagomedov garners 6.5% as a rising threat, reflecting Yan's title defense path shaped by recent form, health updates, and matchmaking buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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