Petr Yan reclaimed the UFC bantamweight title with a unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, evening their head-to-head record at 1-1 and setting up strong expectations for an immediate trilogy bout. Yan’s subsequent minor back surgery has sidelined him through at least early summer 2026, with both fighters and UFC matchmaking indicating the rematch remains the priority once recovery completes, directly supporting Dvalishvili’s leading implied probability. Sean O’Malley sits as the next most plausible alternative due to his established contender status and recent activity within the division’s top tier. Lower-probability names such as Song Yadong, Umar Nurmagomedov, and Dominick Cruz reflect standard depth options but lack comparable recent confirmation or scheduling momentum from official channels. Division standings, injury timelines, and explicit statements from the champion continue to anchor trader consensus around the Dvalishvili rematch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMerab Dvalishvili 70%
Sean O’Malley 16.4%
Song Yadong 1.8%
Dominick Cruz <1%
$1,118,827 Vol.
$1,118,827 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
63%
Sean O’Malley
22%
Song Yadong
2%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 70%
Sean O’Malley 16.4%
Song Yadong 1.8%
Dominick Cruz <1%
$1,118,827 Vol.
$1,118,827 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
63%
Sean O’Malley
22%
Song Yadong
2%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan reclaimed the UFC bantamweight title with a unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, evening their head-to-head record at 1-1 and setting up strong expectations for an immediate trilogy bout. Yan’s subsequent minor back surgery has sidelined him through at least early summer 2026, with both fighters and UFC matchmaking indicating the rematch remains the priority once recovery completes, directly supporting Dvalishvili’s leading implied probability. Sean O’Malley sits as the next most plausible alternative due to his established contender status and recent activity within the division’s top tier. Lower-probability names such as Song Yadong, Umar Nurmagomedov, and Dominick Cruz reflect standard depth options but lack comparable recent confirmation or scheduling momentum from official channels. Division standings, injury timelines, and explicit statements from the champion continue to anchor trader consensus around the Dvalishvili rematch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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