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Sports·UFC

Who will Petr Yan fight next?

icon for Who will Petr Yan fight next?
Sports·UFC

Who will Petr Yan fight next?

Merab Dvalishvili 70%

Sean O’Malley 16.4%

Song Yadong 1.8%

Dominick Cruz <1%

Polymarket

$1,118,827 Vol.

Merab Dvalishvili 70%

Sean O’Malley 16.4%

Song Yadong 1.8%

Dominick Cruz <1%

Polymarket

$1,118,827 Vol.

Merab Dvalishvili

$64,993 Vol.

62%

Sean O’Malley

$86,576 Vol.

22%

Song Yadong

$41,219 Vol.

2%

Dominick Cruz

$408,758 Vol.

1%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$15,629 Vol.

1%

Alexander Volkanovski

$433,314 Vol.

1%

Ricky Simón

$8,490 Vol.

<1%

Alexandre Pantoja

$7,864 Vol.

<1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$9,696 Vol.

<1%

Payton Talbott

$8,260 Vol.

<1%

Cory Sandhagen

$7,372 Vol.

<1%

Rob Font

$5,013 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Munhoz

$12,527 Vol.

<1%

Henry Cejudo

$9,116 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).Petr Yan’s recovery from back surgery, which sidelined the UFC bantamweight champion until summer 2026, has shaped the market around a planned trilogy bout with Merab Dvalishvili. Dvalishvili’s 62.5% implied probability reflects confirmed statements from both fighters and UFC matchmaking prioritizing the rivalry after Yan’s December 2025 decision win at UFC 323, positioning Dvalishvili for an immediate title shot upon full recovery. Sean O’Malley sits at 22.2% as the next most plausible option given his former championship pedigree and stylistic appeal in the division, while lower-priced names such as Song Yadong, Dominick Cruz, and Umar Nurmagomedov represent deeper bench contenders whose probabilities hinge on Yan’s timeline and any interim developments in the 135-pound standings.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$1,118,827
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).Petr Yan’s recovery from back surgery, which sidelined the UFC bantamweight champion until summer 2026, has shaped the market around a planned trilogy bout with Merab Dvalishvili. Dvalishvili’s 62.5% implied probability reflects confirmed statements from both fighters and UFC matchmaking prioritizing the rivalry after Yan’s December 2025 decision win at UFC 323, positioning Dvalishvili for an immediate title shot upon full recovery. Sean O’Malley sits at 22.2% as the next most plausible option given his former championship pedigree and stylistic appeal in the division, while lower-priced names such as Song Yadong, Dominick Cruz, and Umar Nurmagomedov represent deeper bench contenders whose probabilities hinge on Yan’s timeline and any interim developments in the 135-pound standings.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$1,118,827
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Petr Yan fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 62%, followed by "Sean O’Malley" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Petr Yan fight next?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Petr Yan fight next?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Petr Yan fight next?" is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sean O’Malley" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Petr Yan fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.