Trader consensus heavily favors Petr Yan at 79.5% implied probability as Merab Dvalishvili's next opponent, driven by recent statements from both fighters confirming a trilogy bout after Yan's decision win over the former bantamweight champion at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili revealed last week that UFC officials promised him an immediate rematch this summer, while Yan echoed the plans for spring or summer 2026, prioritizing the high-stakes rubber match over other contenders. Sean O'Malley (48.9%), Deiveson Figueiredo (48.6%), and Umar Nurmagomedov (47.5%) trail as viable alternatives amid the muddled title picture, reflecting stylistic matchups and recent contender wins, though no official announcement has materialized to shift sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 85%
Sean O'Malley 49.0%
Alexandre Pantoja 48.4%
Aiemann Zahabi 46.4%
$13,688 Vol.
$13,688 Vol.
Petr Yan
86%
Sean O'Malley
49%
Alexandre Pantoja
48%
Aiemann Zahabi
46%
Song Yadong
45%
Umar Nurmagomedov
44%
Payton Talbott
36%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Rob Font
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Ricky Simón
44%
Deiveson Figueiredo
38%
Petr Yan 85%
Sean O'Malley 49.0%
Alexandre Pantoja 48.4%
Aiemann Zahabi 46.4%
$13,688 Vol.
$13,688 Vol.
Petr Yan
86%
Sean O'Malley
49%
Alexandre Pantoja
48%
Aiemann Zahabi
46%
Song Yadong
45%
Umar Nurmagomedov
44%
Payton Talbott
36%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Rob Font
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Ricky Simón
44%
Deiveson Figueiredo
38%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Petr Yan at 79.5% implied probability as Merab Dvalishvili's next opponent, driven by recent statements from both fighters confirming a trilogy bout after Yan's decision win over the former bantamweight champion at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili revealed last week that UFC officials promised him an immediate rematch this summer, while Yan echoed the plans for spring or summer 2026, prioritizing the high-stakes rubber match over other contenders. Sean O'Malley (48.9%), Deiveson Figueiredo (48.6%), and Umar Nurmagomedov (47.5%) trail as viable alternatives amid the muddled title picture, reflecting stylistic matchups and recent contender wins, though no official announcement has materialized to shift sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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