Petr Yan captured the UFC bantamweight title from Merab Dvalishvili via decision at UFC 323 in December 2025, establishing him as the consensus favorite entering 2026 amid a deep division. Aiemann Zahabi's extended win streak and climb to #6 in official rankings have elevated his implied probability, positioning the Tristar product for a high-profile bout against former champion Sean O'Malley on June 14. Merab's prior multi-defense run and Umar Nurmagomedov's elite grappling maintain their market presence despite recent outcomes, while O'Malley's experience and Song Yadong's consistency factor into trader consensus on title contention. The stacked contender pool, including Cory Sandhagen, underscores how upcoming matchmaking and form will shape end-of-year resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 53%
Merab Dvalishvili 33%
Sean O'Malley 27%
Umar Nurmagomedov 7.4%
$329,453 Vol.
$329,453 Vol.
Petr Yan
47%
Merab Dvalishvili
25%
Sean O'Malley
27%
Umar Nurmagomedov
7%
Song Yadong
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
42%
Petr Yan 53%
Merab Dvalishvili 33%
Sean O'Malley 27%
Umar Nurmagomedov 7.4%
$329,453 Vol.
$329,453 Vol.
Petr Yan
47%
Merab Dvalishvili
25%
Sean O'Malley
27%
Umar Nurmagomedov
7%
Song Yadong
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
42%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan captured the UFC bantamweight title from Merab Dvalishvili via decision at UFC 323 in December 2025, establishing him as the consensus favorite entering 2026 amid a deep division. Aiemann Zahabi's extended win streak and climb to #6 in official rankings have elevated his implied probability, positioning the Tristar product for a high-profile bout against former champion Sean O'Malley on June 14. Merab's prior multi-defense run and Umar Nurmagomedov's elite grappling maintain their market presence despite recent outcomes, while O'Malley's experience and Song Yadong's consistency factor into trader consensus on title contention. The stacked contender pool, including Cory Sandhagen, underscores how upcoming matchmaking and form will shape end-of-year resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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