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Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?
Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

jun 30

dic 31

jun 30

dic 31

$66,329 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$66,329 Vol.

Polymarket
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Corea del Norte

$1,277 Vol.

5%

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Cuba

$1,027 Vol.

11%

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Siria

$4,626 Vol.

11%

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Bangladesh

$5,614 Vol.

9%

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Arabia Saudita

$14,215 Vol.

11%

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Líbano

$4,344 Vol.

18%

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Afganistán

$6,874 Vol.

7%

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Catar

$5,645 Vol.

11%

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Irak

$204 Vol.

7%

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Pakistán

$1,964 Vol.

6%

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Venezuela

$5,270 Vol.

36%

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Túnez

$5,813 Vol.

7%

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Kuwait

$1,105 Vol.

10%

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Indonesia

$1,597 Vol.

12%

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Malasia

$3,961 Vol.

5%

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Irán

$2,794 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel remains stable at 163 UN member states as of early 2026, with the 29 non-recognizing countries concentrated among Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members plus a few others such as Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela. Trader sentiment reflects limited momentum for new bilateral recognitions or restored relations by year-end, driven by persistent linkage to Palestinian statehood issues, including Saudi Arabia's conditions and recent international summits advancing two-state frameworks. Key recent factors include sustained Abraham Accords ties without expansion, multiple 2025 recognitions of Palestine by additional states, and condemnations of West Bank settlement expansions by groups of foreign ministers. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any shifts in regional conflict dynamics could influence outcomes before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$66,329
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel remains stable at 163 UN member states as of early 2026, with the 29 non-recognizing countries concentrated among Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members plus a few others such as Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela. Trader sentiment reflects limited momentum for new bilateral recognitions or restored relations by year-end, driven by persistent linkage to Palestinian statehood issues, including Saudi Arabia's conditions and recent international summits advancing two-state frameworks. Key recent factors include sustained Abraham Accords ties without expansion, multiple 2025 recognitions of Palestine by additional states, and condemnations of West Bank settlement expansions by groups of foreign ministers. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any shifts in regional conflict dynamics could influence outcomes before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$66,329
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Venezuela" con 36%, seguido de "Líbano" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" ha generado $66.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "Venezuela" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Líbano" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.