Trader consensus favors the Las Vegas Raiders at 56% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, bolstered by a failed trade to the Baltimore Ravens in early March that collapsed over a physical after an agreement on 2026 and 2027 first-round picks. Crosby publicly reaffirmed his desire to stay amid repaired team relations, while GM John Spytek expressed confidence in his retention during the NFL Scouting Combine and post-draft, with the Raiders' aggressive free agency spending and draft class (including QB Fernando Mendoza) signaling a contending core around their star pass rusher despite a hefty $35.8 million cap hit. Elevated odds for Tennessee Titans (46.9%), Green Bay Packers (46.2%), and Atlanta Falcons (45.6%) reflect lingering interest from over eight pass rush-needy teams showing trade pursuits, keeping alternatives competitive in a fluid offseason landscape.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTennessee Titans 47.0%
Atlanta Falcons 47.0%
Jacksonville Jaguars 37.3%
Buffalo Bills 34.2%
$200,768 Vol.
$200,768 Vol.
Tennessee Titans
47%
Atlanta Falcons
47%
Jacksonville Jaguars
37%
Buffalo Bills
34%
San Francisco 49ers
32%
Philadelphia Eagles
11%
Cincinnati Bengals
7%
Detroit Lions
5%
Denver Broncos
3%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
Los Angeles Chargers
3%
Houston Texans
3%
Chicago Bears
3%
Seattle Seahawks
3%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3%
Washington Commanders
2%
New Orleans Saints
2%
Minnesota Vikings
2%
Baltimore Ravens
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Carolina Panthers
1%
New England Patriots
1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Green Bay Packers
46%
Las Vegas Raiders
56%
Tennessee Titans 47.0%
Atlanta Falcons 47.0%
Jacksonville Jaguars 37.3%
Buffalo Bills 34.2%
$200,768 Vol.
$200,768 Vol.
Tennessee Titans
47%
Atlanta Falcons
47%
Jacksonville Jaguars
37%
Buffalo Bills
34%
San Francisco 49ers
32%
Philadelphia Eagles
11%
Cincinnati Bengals
7%
Detroit Lions
5%
Denver Broncos
3%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
Los Angeles Chargers
3%
Houston Texans
3%
Chicago Bears
3%
Seattle Seahawks
3%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3%
Washington Commanders
2%
New Orleans Saints
2%
Minnesota Vikings
2%
Baltimore Ravens
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Carolina Panthers
1%
New England Patriots
1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Green Bay Packers
46%
Las Vegas Raiders
56%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Las Vegas Raiders at 56% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, bolstered by a failed trade to the Baltimore Ravens in early March that collapsed over a physical after an agreement on 2026 and 2027 first-round picks. Crosby publicly reaffirmed his desire to stay amid repaired team relations, while GM John Spytek expressed confidence in his retention during the NFL Scouting Combine and post-draft, with the Raiders' aggressive free agency spending and draft class (including QB Fernando Mendoza) signaling a contending core around their star pass rusher despite a hefty $35.8 million cap hit. Elevated odds for Tennessee Titans (46.9%), Green Bay Packers (46.2%), and Atlanta Falcons (45.6%) reflect lingering interest from over eight pass rush-needy teams showing trade pursuits, keeping alternatives competitive in a fluid offseason landscape.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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