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Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

icon for When will the DHS shutdown end?
Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

Apr 30

Jul 31

Apr 30

Jul 31

$1,515,606 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,515,606 Vol.

April 29-30

$180,380 Vol.

93%

After April 30

$472,796 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The House of Representatives' passage of a Senate-approved appropriations bill earlier today to fund most Department of Homeland Security operations, including the Transportation Security Administration and Coast Guard, has driven trader consensus to 93.8% odds for the partial government shutdown ending by April 30, marking the close of its record 76-day duration stemming from a February funding lapse over immigration enforcement disputes. This bipartisan procedural step, following weeks of partisan standoffs, reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on President Trump's expected prompt signature amid White House warnings of exhausted pay funds. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen veto, signing delay, or procedural holdup extending funding restoration beyond midnight, though historical patterns favor rapid enactment post-Congressional approval.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,515,606
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The House of Representatives' passage of a Senate-approved appropriations bill earlier today to fund most Department of Homeland Security operations, including the Transportation Security Administration and Coast Guard, has driven trader consensus to 93.8% odds for the partial government shutdown ending by April 30, marking the close of its record 76-day duration stemming from a February funding lapse over immigration enforcement disputes. This bipartisan procedural step, following weeks of partisan standoffs, reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on President Trump's expected prompt signature amid White House warnings of exhausted pay funds. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen veto, signing delay, or procedural holdup extending funding restoration beyond midnight, though historical patterns favor rapid enactment post-Congressional approval.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,515,606
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"When will the DHS shutdown end?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 29-30" at 93%, followed by "After April 30" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "When will the DHS shutdown end?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "When will the DHS shutdown end?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" is "April 29-30" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "After April 30" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.