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What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

icon for What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

$44,535 Vol.

Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket

$44,535 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 18,000

$5,478 Vol.

23%

↑ 16,000

$6,321 Vol.

67%

↑ 14,000

$6,763 Vol.

77%

↓ 10,000

$6,922 Vol.

52%

↓ 8,000

$4,339 Vol.

28%

↓ 6,000

$8,446 Vol.

11%

↓ 4,000

$6,265 Vol.

32%

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.The Dubai Financial Market Real Estate Index (DFMREI) has declined 11.5% year-to-date through late April 2026, trading around 12,174 after a 30% plunge from early-year peaks near 17,000, driven primarily by escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions that sparked a transaction volume drop of 37% year-on-year in early March and the first residential price decline (5.9% month-on-month) since 2020 per ValuStrat data. Robust Q1 sales of AED 176 billion reflect lingering investor demand from population inflows and high rental yields, but trader sentiment reflects caution over a projected 120,000-160,000 new residential units entering the market this year, potentially pressuring prices and valuations. Key upcoming catalysts include UAE Central Bank quarterly reviews, H2 supply deliveries, and regional stability developments that could sway index trajectory toward year-end thresholds.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Volume
$44,535
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.The Dubai Financial Market Real Estate Index (DFMREI) has declined 11.5% year-to-date through late April 2026, trading around 12,174 after a 30% plunge from early-year peaks near 17,000, driven primarily by escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions that sparked a transaction volume drop of 37% year-on-year in early March and the first residential price decline (5.9% month-on-month) since 2020 per ValuStrat data. Robust Q1 sales of AED 176 billion reflect lingering investor demand from population inflows and high rental yields, but trader sentiment reflects caution over a projected 120,000-160,000 new residential units entering the market this year, potentially pressuring prices and valuations. Key upcoming catalysts include UAE Central Bank quarterly reviews, H2 supply deliveries, and regional stability developments that could sway index trajectory toward year-end thresholds.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Volume
$44,535
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 12,000" at 100%, followed by "↑ 14,000" at 78%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?" has generated $44.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?" is "↑ 12,000" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 14,000" at 78%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.