Trader consensus prices Mikel Merino, Kim Min-Jae, and Konrad Laimer near even money at around 50% implied probability for most yellow cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League, reflecting their tied disciplinary tallies of 3-4 bookings apiece amid high-stakes knockout fixtures. Arsenal midfielders Merino and Declan Rice recently served one-match bans after accumulating cautions in the league phase, returning for quarterfinals where combative tackling fueled further risks, while Bayern's Laimer and center-back Kim Min-Jae dodged suspensions ahead of their semifinal against Real Madrid despite elevated foul rates. Martín Zubimendi trails slightly at 39.5% with comparable exposure for Real Sociedad, but the race stays tight as finalists face extra games prone to tactical yellows in high-pressure legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeclan Rice 4%
Mikel Merino 0
Kim Min-Jae 0
Martín Zubimendi 0
$162,554 Vol.
$162,554 Vol.
Declan Rice
15%
Mikel Merino
50%
Kim Min-Jae
48%
Martín Zubimendi
40%
Konrad Laimer
49%
Declan Rice 4%
Mikel Merino 0
Kim Min-Jae 0
Martín Zubimendi 0
$162,554 Vol.
$162,554 Vol.
Declan Rice
15%
Mikel Merino
50%
Kim Min-Jae
48%
Martín Zubimendi
40%
Konrad Laimer
49%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Mikel Merino, Kim Min-Jae, and Konrad Laimer near even money at around 50% implied probability for most yellow cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League, reflecting their tied disciplinary tallies of 3-4 bookings apiece amid high-stakes knockout fixtures. Arsenal midfielders Merino and Declan Rice recently served one-match bans after accumulating cautions in the league phase, returning for quarterfinals where combative tackling fueled further risks, while Bayern's Laimer and center-back Kim Min-Jae dodged suspensions ahead of their semifinal against Real Madrid despite elevated foul rates. Martín Zubimendi trails slightly at 39.5% with comparable exposure for Real Sociedad, but the race stays tight as finalists face extra games prone to tactical yellows in high-pressure legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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