Trader consensus prices Kim Min-Jae and Konrad Laimer as slim favorites at 49.5% and 49.0% implied probabilities for most cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League, with Mikel Merino, Morten Hjulmand, Declan Rice, and Martín Zubimendi tightly clustered nearby, reflecting their near-identical disciplinary tallies amid intense knockout matchups. Hjulmand leads outright with 5 yellow cards for eliminated Sporting CP, but Bayern Munich's combative duo—Min-Jae bolstered by an earlier yellow-red expulsion—and Arsenal's midfield anchors Rice and Zubimendi (both on 4 bookings) trail closely after quarterfinal triumphs that advanced their clubs to semifinals versus PSG and Atlético Madrid. Merino's comparable haul for Real Sociedad keeps him viable despite earlier exit, as remaining legs plus potential final offer overtaking paths; no suspensions loom from recent first-leg semis on April 28. High minutes, foul-heavy styles, and deep runs sustain the razor-thin race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKim Min-Jae 50%
Declan Rice 49%
Martín Zubimendi 49%
Mikel Merino 49%
Kim Min-Jae
50%
Declan Rice
49%
Martín Zubimendi
49%
Mikel Merino
49%
Konrad Laimer
49%
Morten Hjulmand
48%
Kim Min-Jae 50%
Declan Rice 49%
Martín Zubimendi 49%
Mikel Merino 49%
Kim Min-Jae
50%
Declan Rice
49%
Martín Zubimendi
49%
Mikel Merino
49%
Konrad Laimer
49%
Morten Hjulmand
48%
For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 23, 2026, 10:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Kim Min-Jae and Konrad Laimer as slim favorites at 49.5% and 49.0% implied probabilities for most cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League, with Mikel Merino, Morten Hjulmand, Declan Rice, and Martín Zubimendi tightly clustered nearby, reflecting their near-identical disciplinary tallies amid intense knockout matchups. Hjulmand leads outright with 5 yellow cards for eliminated Sporting CP, but Bayern Munich's combative duo—Min-Jae bolstered by an earlier yellow-red expulsion—and Arsenal's midfield anchors Rice and Zubimendi (both on 4 bookings) trail closely after quarterfinal triumphs that advanced their clubs to semifinals versus PSG and Atlético Madrid. Merino's comparable haul for Real Sociedad keeps him viable despite earlier exit, as remaining legs plus potential final offer overtaking paths; no suspensions loom from recent first-leg semis on April 28. High minutes, foul-heavy styles, and deep runs sustain the razor-thin race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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