Trader consensus on Polymarket for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of June 8, 2026, clusters tightly around the $430–$440 range, with the $435–$440 bin at 47.5% implied probability edging out $430–$435 at 46.5% and several adjacent bins near 46%. This narrow distribution reflects balanced trader positioning driven by recent share-price volatility, mixed EV demand signals, and sensitivity to macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and broader equity indices. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming catalysts including any production updates, sector comparisons, and economic releases that could tip the final settlement within or outside the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$395 49%
$400-$405 46%
$430-$435 46%
$405-$410 45%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
<$395
49%
$395-$400
43%
$400-$405
46%
$405-$410
45%
$410-$415
42%
$415-$420
44%
$420-$425
45%
$425-$430
43%
$430-$435
46%
$435-$440
32%
>$440
41%
<$395 49%
$400-$405 46%
$430-$435 46%
$405-$410 45%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
<$395
$0 Vol.
49%
$395-$400
$0 Vol.
43%
$400-$405
$0 Vol.
46%
$405-$410
$0 Vol.
45%
$410-$415
$0 Vol.
42%
$415-$420
$0 Vol.
44%
$420-$425
$0 Vol.
45%
$425-$430
$0 Vol.
43%
$430-$435
$0 Vol.
46%
$435-$440
$0 Vol.
32%
>$440
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of June 8, 2026, clusters tightly around the $430–$440 range, with the $435–$440 bin at 47.5% implied probability edging out $430–$435 at 46.5% and several adjacent bins near 46%. This narrow distribution reflects balanced trader positioning driven by recent share-price volatility, mixed EV demand signals, and sensitivity to macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and broader equity indices. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming catalysts including any production updates, sector comparisons, and economic releases that could tip the final settlement within or outside the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of June 8, 2026, clusters tightly around the $430–$440 range, with the $435–$440 bin at 47.5% implied probability edging out $430–$435 at 46.5% and several adjacent bins near 46%. This narrow distribution reflects balanced trader positioning driven by recent share-price volatility, mixed EV demand signals, and sensitivity to macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and broader equity indices. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming catalysts including any production updates, sector comparisons, and economic releases that could tip the final settlement within or outside the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket for Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of June 8, 2026, clusters tightly around the $430–$440 range, with the $435–$440 bin at 47.5% implied probability edging out $430–$435 at 46.5% and several adjacent bins near 46%. This narrow distribution reflects balanced trader positioning driven by recent share-price volatility, mixed EV demand signals, and sensitivity to macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and broader equity indices. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming catalysts including any production updates, sector comparisons, and economic releases that could tip the final settlement within or outside the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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