Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, beginning with USDA confirmation of larvae in a bovine in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and expanding to additional livestock and a dog in Lea County, New Mexico, have intensified coordinated federal and state responses. The parasite’s larvae cause invasive myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, historically eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 via sterile insect technique; its northward spread from Mexico reflects disrupted barrier zones and illegal cattle movement. Texas Governor Abbott expanded a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while CDC activated its lowest-level (Level 3) Emergency Operations Center on June 11 to support USDA containment. No presidential national emergency declaration has occurred, though prior 2025 HHS actions enabled emergency use authorizations for treatments. Traders are monitoring USDA case updates, sterile fly production increases, and any escalation in federal emergency authorities or additional state declarations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
NEW
Jan 1, 2027
June 30
27%
August 30
48%
October 31
49%
December 31
50%
$150 Vol.
June 30
$150 Vol.
27%
August 30
$0 Vol.
48%
October 31
$0 Vol.
49%
December 31
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, beginning with USDA confirmation of larvae in a bovine in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and expanding to additional livestock and a dog in Lea County, New Mexico, have intensified coordinated federal and state responses. The parasite’s larvae cause invasive myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, historically eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 via sterile insect technique; its northward spread from Mexico reflects disrupted barrier zones and illegal cattle movement. Texas Governor Abbott expanded a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while CDC activated its lowest-level (Level 3) Emergency Operations Center on June 11 to support USDA containment. No presidential national emergency declaration has occurred, though prior 2025 HHS actions enabled emergency use authorizations for treatments. Traders are monitoring USDA case updates, sterile fly production increases, and any escalation in federal emergency authorities or additional state declarations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$150End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, beginning with USDA confirmation of larvae in a bovine in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and expanding to additional livestock and a dog in Lea County, New Mexico, have intensified coordinated federal and state responses. The parasite’s larvae cause invasive myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, historically eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 via sterile insect technique; its northward spread from Mexico reflects disrupted barrier zones and illegal cattle movement. Texas Governor Abbott expanded a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while CDC activated its lowest-level (Level 3) Emergency Operations Center on June 11 to support USDA containment. No presidential national emergency declaration has occurred, though prior 2025 HHS actions enabled emergency use authorizations for treatments. Traders are monitoring USDA case updates, sterile fly production increases, and any escalation in federal emergency authorities or additional state declarations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$150End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas and New Mexico, beginning with USDA confirmation of larvae in a bovine in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, and expanding to additional livestock and a dog in Lea County, New Mexico, have intensified coordinated federal and state responses. The parasite’s larvae cause invasive myiasis by burrowing into living tissue, historically eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 via sterile insect technique; its northward spread from Mexico reflects disrupted barrier zones and illegal cattle movement. Texas Governor Abbott expanded a statewide disaster proclamation on June 5, while CDC activated its lowest-level (Level 3) Emergency Operations Center on June 11 to support USDA containment. No presidential national emergency declaration has occurred, though prior 2025 HHS actions enabled emergency use authorizations for treatments. Traders are monitoring USDA case updates, sterile fly production increases, and any escalation in federal emergency authorities or additional state declarations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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