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icon for Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

icon for Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

$44,647 Vol.

Jul 1, 2026
Polymarket

$44,647 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30, 2026

$16,646 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rodrigo Paz assumed Bolivia’s presidency in November 2025 after defeating a rival in the runoff and ending two decades of Movement for Socialism dominance. His administration has pursued austerity, fuel-subsidy cuts, and spending reductions to address inherited fiscal imbalances, triggering sustained protests, road blockades, and shortages that escalated sharply from late April onward. Demonstrators have demanded subsidy reversals, labor reforms, and his resignation; at least ten deaths and hundreds of arrests have occurred amid clashes. His alliance fared poorly in the March-April 2026 subnational elections, securing just two of nine governorships, while Vice President Edmand Lara has positioned himself in opposition. Paz responded with a 50 percent salary cut for himself and ministers and has received explicit U.S. diplomatic backing, yet the combination of economic strain and street mobilization continues to shape trader assessments of removal risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,647
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 11:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rodrigo Paz assumed Bolivia’s presidency in November 2025 after defeating a rival in the runoff and ending two decades of Movement for Socialism dominance. His administration has pursued austerity, fuel-subsidy cuts, and spending reductions to address inherited fiscal imbalances, triggering sustained protests, road blockades, and shortages that escalated sharply from late April onward. Demonstrators have demanded subsidy reversals, labor reforms, and his resignation; at least ten deaths and hundreds of arrests have occurred amid clashes. His alliance fared poorly in the March-April 2026 subnational elections, securing just two of nine governorships, while Vice President Edmand Lara has positioned himself in opposition. Paz responded with a 50 percent salary cut for himself and ministers and has received explicit U.S. diplomatic backing, yet the combination of economic strain and street mobilization continues to shape trader assessments of removal risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,647
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 11:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30, 2026" at 8%, followed by "May 31, 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" has generated $44.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" is "June 30, 2026" at just 8%, with "May 31, 2026" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.