Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's April 2026 precipitation totaled just 34mm through April 26—less than half the historical monthly average of around 73mm—driving the market's 98.8% implied probability for under 40mm. Persistent high-pressure systems and below-normal moisture inflows limited spring rain events, with only scattered light showers earlier in the month, such as 10-60mm nationwide around April 19 but minimal in Seoul. Final days (27-30) featured mostly cloudy but dry conditions, with KMA short-range forecasts showing precipitation probabilities under 20%. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects near-resolution certainty, though an unforeseen convective surge could add marginal rainfall before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
<40mm 99.4%
45-50mm 2.2%
40-45mm 1.1%
55-60mm <1%
$45,251 Vol.
$45,251 Vol.
<40mm
99%
40-45mm
1%
45-50mm
2%
50-55mm
<1%
55-60mm
1%
60-65mm
1%
65-70mm
<1%
70-75mm
<1%
75mm+
<1%
<40mm 99.4%
45-50mm 2.2%
40-45mm 1.1%
55-60mm <1%
$45,251 Vol.
$45,251 Vol.
<40mm
99%
40-45mm
1%
45-50mm
2%
50-55mm
<1%
55-60mm
1%
60-65mm
1%
65-70mm
<1%
70-75mm
<1%
75mm+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's April 2026 precipitation totaled just 34mm through April 26—less than half the historical monthly average of around 73mm—driving the market's 98.8% implied probability for under 40mm. Persistent high-pressure systems and below-normal moisture inflows limited spring rain events, with only scattered light showers earlier in the month, such as 10-60mm nationwide around April 19 but minimal in Seoul. Final days (27-30) featured mostly cloudy but dry conditions, with KMA short-range forecasts showing precipitation probabilities under 20%. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects near-resolution certainty, though an unforeseen convective surge could add marginal rainfall before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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