Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's April 2026 precipitation totaled just 34 mm through April 26—less than half the 73 mm climatological average—driving trader consensus to 99.3% odds on under 40 mm, as dry high-pressure systems dominated early spring patterns with minimal convective activity. Scattered spring showers mid-month, including 10-20 mm around April 19, failed to offset the overall deficit amid warmer-than-normal temperatures suppressing moisture influx. With only days remaining and National Weather Service forecasts indicating negligible rainfall probability through April 30 (under 5 mm expected), resolution appears locked; a dramatic late surge from unforecast stalled fronts would be required to challenge this, though model ensembles show low likelihood. KMA final monthly data expected post-April.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
<40mm 99.2%
50-55mm <1%
55-60mm <1%
60-65mm <1%
$45,624 Vol.
$45,624 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<40mm
99%
40-45mm
<1%
45-50mm
<1%
50-55mm
1%
55-60mm
<1%
60-65mm
<1%
65-70mm
<1%
70-75mm
<1%
75mm+
<1%
<40mm 99.2%
50-55mm <1%
55-60mm <1%
60-65mm <1%
$45,624 Vol.
$45,624 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
<40mm
$25,614 Vol.
99%
40-45mm
$1,880 Vol.
<1%
45-50mm
$3,053 Vol.
<1%
50-55mm
$4,989 Vol.
1%
55-60mm
$3,843 Vol.
<1%
60-65mm
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
65-70mm
$1,417 Vol.
<1%
70-75mm
$1,826 Vol.
<1%
75mm+
$1,778 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's April 2026 precipitation totaled just 34 mm through April 26—less than half the 73 mm climatological average—driving trader consensus to 99.3% odds on under 40 mm, as dry high-pressure systems dominated early spring patterns with minimal convective activity. Scattered spring showers mid-month, including 10-20 mm around April 19, failed to offset the overall deficit amid warmer-than-normal temperatures suppressing moisture influx. With only days remaining and National Weather Service forecasts indicating negligible rainfall probability through April 30 (under 5 mm expected), resolution appears locked; a dramatic late surge from unforecast stalled fronts would be required to challenge this, though model ensembles show low likelihood. KMA final monthly data expected post-April.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$45,624End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's April 2026 precipitation totaled just 34 mm through April 26—less than half the 73 mm climatological average—driving trader consensus to 99.3% odds on under 40 mm, as dry high-pressure systems dominated early spring patterns with minimal convective activity. Scattered spring showers mid-month, including 10-20 mm around April 19, failed to offset the overall deficit amid warmer-than-normal temperatures suppressing moisture influx. With only days remaining and National Weather Service forecasts indicating negligible rainfall probability through April 30 (under 5 mm expected), resolution appears locked; a dramatic late surge from unforecast stalled fronts would be required to challenge this, though model ensembles show low likelihood. KMA final monthly data expected post-April.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,624End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's April 2026 precipitation totaled just 34 mm through April 26—less than half the 73 mm climatological average—driving trader consensus to 99.3% odds on under 40 mm, as dry high-pressure systems dominated early spring patterns with minimal convective activity. Scattered spring showers mid-month, including 10-20 mm around April 19, failed to offset the overall deficit amid warmer-than-normal temperatures suppressing moisture influx. With only days remaining and National Weather Service forecasts indicating negligible rainfall probability through April 30 (under 5 mm expected), resolution appears locked; a dramatic late surge from unforecast stalled fronts would be required to challenge this, though model ensembles show low likelihood. KMA final monthly data expected post-April.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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