AD Tarma enters as trader consensus favorite at 58.5% implied probability, bolstered by a commanding 4-0 home goleada over Los Chankas on April 27 that snapped a mixed run and highlighted forward Jonatan Bauman's form with a double. Sitting 13th in Liga 1 Apertura standings with 13 points from 12 matches, they leverage Estadio Unión Tarma's high-altitude home advantage against 17th-placed CA Grau, who sit on 10 points amid recent struggles including a likely loss to Alianza Lima on April 26 and poor away results. Head-to-head tilts slightly to Grau historically, but Tarma's recent momentum and superior table position elevate their edge, with draw at 25% reflecting competitive Liga 1 matchups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf AD Tarma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://liga1.pe/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If AD Tarma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://liga1.pe/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...AD Tarma enters as trader consensus favorite at 58.5% implied probability, bolstered by a commanding 4-0 home goleada over Los Chankas on April 27 that snapped a mixed run and highlighted forward Jonatan Bauman's form with a double. Sitting 13th in Liga 1 Apertura standings with 13 points from 12 matches, they leverage Estadio Unión Tarma's high-altitude home advantage against 17th-placed CA Grau, who sit on 10 points amid recent struggles including a likely loss to Alianza Lima on April 26 and poor away results. Head-to-head tilts slightly to Grau historically, but Tarma's recent momentum and superior table position elevate their edge, with draw at 25% reflecting competitive Liga 1 matchups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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