Polymarket traders price Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares with a razor-thin split—50.5% implied probability for a $4.00-$5.00 close and 47.5% for $5.00-$6.00 by week's end—reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings uncertainty amid a soft housing market. Revenue of $720 million beat analyst estimates by 8.4% on May 7, but homes sold plunged 35% year-over-year to 1,921, driving a $173 million net loss despite gross margin expansion to 10% and 4.4% contribution margin. New CEO Kaz Nejatian's emphasis on resale velocity and a 4.99% mortgage offering differentiates OPEN from peers like Zillow, countering 6.37% 30-year rates; however, analyst price targets averaging $4.38 signal caution, with broader market sentiment as the key swing factor ahead of Friday's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$5.00 55%
$5.00-$6.00 38%
$3.00-$4.00 6%
$6.00-$7.00 5%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
2%
$3.00-$4.00
6%
$4.00-$5.00
55%
$5.00-$6.00
38%
$6.00-$7.00
5%
$7.00-$8.00
4%
$8.00-$9.00
<1%
$9.00-$10
<1%
>$10
<1%
$4.00-$5.00 55%
$5.00-$6.00 38%
$3.00-$4.00 6%
$6.00-$7.00 5%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
<$1.00
$886 Vol.
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
$614 Vol.
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
$29 Vol.
2%
$3.00-$4.00
$10 Vol.
6%
$4.00-$5.00
$0 Vol.
55%
$5.00-$6.00
$16 Vol.
38%
$6.00-$7.00
$0 Vol.
5%
$7.00-$8.00
$0 Vol.
4%
$8.00-$9.00
$466 Vol.
<1%
$9.00-$10
$538 Vol.
<1%
>$10
$1,726 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares with a razor-thin split—50.5% implied probability for a $4.00-$5.00 close and 47.5% for $5.00-$6.00 by week's end—reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings uncertainty amid a soft housing market. Revenue of $720 million beat analyst estimates by 8.4% on May 7, but homes sold plunged 35% year-over-year to 1,921, driving a $173 million net loss despite gross margin expansion to 10% and 4.4% contribution margin. New CEO Kaz Nejatian's emphasis on resale velocity and a 4.99% mortgage offering differentiates OPEN from peers like Zillow, countering 6.37% 30-year rates; however, analyst price targets averaging $4.38 signal caution, with broader market sentiment as the key swing factor ahead of Friday's close.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 6:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,284End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 6:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares with a razor-thin split—50.5% implied probability for a $4.00-$5.00 close and 47.5% for $5.00-$6.00 by week's end—reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings uncertainty amid a soft housing market. Revenue of $720 million beat analyst estimates by 8.4% on May 7, but homes sold plunged 35% year-over-year to 1,921, driving a $173 million net loss despite gross margin expansion to 10% and 4.4% contribution margin. New CEO Kaz Nejatian's emphasis on resale velocity and a 4.99% mortgage offering differentiates OPEN from peers like Zillow, countering 6.37% 30-year rates; however, analyst price targets averaging $4.38 signal caution, with broader market sentiment as the key swing factor ahead of Friday's close.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$4,284End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 6:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares with a razor-thin split—50.5% implied probability for a $4.00-$5.00 close and 47.5% for $5.00-$6.00 by week's end—reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings uncertainty amid a soft housing market. Revenue of $720 million beat analyst estimates by 8.4% on May 7, but homes sold plunged 35% year-over-year to 1,921, driving a $173 million net loss despite gross margin expansion to 10% and 4.4% contribution margin. New CEO Kaz Nejatian's emphasis on resale velocity and a 4.99% mortgage offering differentiates OPEN from peers like Zillow, countering 6.37% 30-year rates; however, analyst price targets averaging $4.38 signal caution, with broader market sentiment as the key swing factor ahead of Friday's close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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