Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked 80-90 million first-week views for MrBeast's April 4 release, "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000," at a 100% implied probability, driven by real-time YouTube metrics showing 80.9 million views exactly seven days post-upload. The video exploded out of the gate with 33.9 million day-one views and a record-breaking one million concurrent live stream peak, boosted by high-profile streamer collabs including Pokimane, Ludwig, and IShowSpeed, alongside massive giveaway hype totaling $1.5 million. Yet, growth tapered after day three amid holiday competition and saturation in the challenge format, falling short of MrBeast's historical 100M+ week-one benchmarks for mega-viral hits like Squid Game recreations. With week one concluded, realistic upsets are negligible—only an unprecedented final-hour viral surge to 90M+ or rare data audit discrepancy could shift it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 100.0%
<60M <1%
60-70M <1%
70-80M <1%
$2,746,560 Vol.
$2,746,560 Vol.
<60M
No
60-70M
No
70-80M
No
80-90M
Yes
90-100M
No
100-110M
No
110M+
No
80-90M 100.0%
<60M <1%
60-70M <1%
70-80M <1%
$2,746,560 Vol.
$2,746,560 Vol.
<60M
No
60-70M
No
70-80M
No
80-90M
Yes
90-100M
No
100-110M
No
110M+
No
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked 80-90 million first-week views for MrBeast's April 4 release, "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000," at a 100% implied probability, driven by real-time YouTube metrics showing 80.9 million views exactly seven days post-upload. The video exploded out of the gate with 33.9 million day-one views and a record-breaking one million concurrent live stream peak, boosted by high-profile streamer collabs including Pokimane, Ludwig, and IShowSpeed, alongside massive giveaway hype totaling $1.5 million. Yet, growth tapered after day three amid holiday competition and saturation in the challenge format, falling short of MrBeast's historical 100M+ week-one benchmarks for mega-viral hits like Squid Game recreations. With week one concluded, realistic upsets are negligible—only an unprecedented final-hour viral surge to 90M+ or rare data audit discrepancy could shift it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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