Skip to main content
icon for Next Manchester United manager?
Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

icon for Next Manchester United manager?
Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

Michael Carrick 76%

Xavi 8.8%

Oliver Glasner 6%

Xabi Alonso 3.7%

Polymarket

$733,293 Vol.

Michael Carrick 76%

Xavi 8.8%

Oliver Glasner 6%

Xabi Alonso 3.7%

Polymarket

$733,293 Vol.

Michael Carrick

$298,829 Vol.

76%

Xavi

$4,708 Vol.

9%

Oliver Glasner

$63,166 Vol.

6%

Xabi Alonso

$4,041 Vol.

4%

Kieran McKenna

$8,276 Vol.

3%

Ole Gunnar Solskjær

$117,609 Vol.

3%

Thomas Tuchel

$6,734 Vol.

2%

Enzo Maresca

$13,075 Vol.

2%

Laurent Blanc

$9,113 Vol.

1%

Luis Enrique

$4,843 Vol.

1%

Gareth Southgate

$22,067 Vol.

<1%

Darren Fletcher

$180,831 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Michael Carrick at 75.5% implied probability to become Manchester United's next permanent head coach, driven by his successful interim stint since Ruben Amorim's January sacking after 14 months of turbulent results. Carrick has steered the Reds to the brink of Champions League qualification in the Premier League table, impressing with tactical flexibility, dressing-room rapport, and recent wins like against Brentford, earning endorsements from pundits including Jamie Carragher and Tim Sherwood. Rivals such as Xavi (6.3%) and Oliver Glasner (5.5%) trail amid their club commitments at Barcelona and Crystal Palace, while Xabi Alonso (3.8%) remains tied to Bayer Leverkusen; fresh reports highlight Andoni Iraola as a potential Bournemouth-linked contender, but Carrick's club DNA and momentum dominate sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$733,293
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Michael Carrick at 75.5% implied probability to become Manchester United's next permanent head coach, driven by his successful interim stint since Ruben Amorim's January sacking after 14 months of turbulent results. Carrick has steered the Reds to the brink of Champions League qualification in the Premier League table, impressing with tactical flexibility, dressing-room rapport, and recent wins like against Brentford, earning endorsements from pundits including Jamie Carragher and Tim Sherwood. Rivals such as Xavi (6.3%) and Oliver Glasner (5.5%) trail amid their club commitments at Barcelona and Crystal Palace, while Xabi Alonso (3.8%) remains tied to Bayer Leverkusen; fresh reports highlight Andoni Iraola as a potential Bournemouth-linked contender, but Carrick's club DNA and momentum dominate sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$733,293
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Manchester United manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Carrick" at 76%, followed by "Xavi" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Manchester United manager?" has generated $733.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Manchester United manager?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Manchester United manager?" is "Michael Carrick" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Xavi" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Manchester United manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.