Skip to main content
icon for Next Manchester United manager?
Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

icon for Next Manchester United manager?
Sports·EPL

Next Manchester United manager?

Michael Carrick 72%

Xavi 9.2%

Oliver Glasner 7%

Thomas Tuchel 5.3%

Polymarket

$742,548 Vol.

Michael Carrick 72%

Xavi 9.2%

Oliver Glasner 7%

Thomas Tuchel 5.3%

Polymarket

$742,548 Vol.

Michael Carrick

$307,555 Vol.

72%

Xavi

$4,750 Vol.

9%

Oliver Glasner

$63,286 Vol.

7%

Thomas Tuchel

$6,779 Vol.

5%

Xabi Alonso

$4,083 Vol.

4%

Kieran McKenna

$8,318 Vol.

3%

Ole Gunnar Solskjær

$117,651 Vol.

3%

Enzo Maresca

$13,110 Vol.

2%

Laurent Blanc

$9,150 Vol.

1%

Luis Enrique

$4,894 Vol.

1%

Darren Fletcher

$180,862 Vol.

1%

Gareth Southgate

$22,109 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Michael Carrick at 72% implied probability to become Manchester United's next permanent manager, driven by his successful interim stint since January 2026 following Ruben Amorim's dismissal. Carrick has steered the Red Devils to the brink of Champions League qualification with impressive recent results, including victories like the 2-1 win over Brentford, earning praise for tactics, dressing room harmony, and deep club understanding as a former captain. Players reportedly back a full-time role, and reports from Fabrizio Romano and others indicate United leaning toward him amid a tightening Premier League top-four race. External candidates like Thomas Tuchel (9.2%) and Xavi (7.3%) linger as alternatives, but Carrick's momentum and continuity edge them out, with no major links advancing others in the past week.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$742,548
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Michael Carrick at 72% implied probability to become Manchester United's next permanent manager, driven by his successful interim stint since January 2026 following Ruben Amorim's dismissal. Carrick has steered the Red Devils to the brink of Champions League qualification with impressive recent results, including victories like the 2-1 win over Brentford, earning praise for tactics, dressing room harmony, and deep club understanding as a former captain. Players reportedly back a full-time role, and reports from Fabrizio Romano and others indicate United leaning toward him amid a tightening Premier League top-four race. External candidates like Thomas Tuchel (9.2%) and Xavi (7.3%) linger as alternatives, but Carrick's momentum and continuity edge them out, with no major links advancing others in the past week.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$742,548
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related

icon for Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

44%
icon for Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?

Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?

48%
icon for Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager?

Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager?

45%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Manchester United manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Carrick" at 72%, followed by "Xavi" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Manchester United manager?" has generated $742.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Manchester United manager?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Manchester United manager?" is "Michael Carrick" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Xavi" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Manchester United manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.