Philadelphia Union hold a slight trader consensus edge at 40.5% implied probability for their home MLS clash against league-leading Nashville SC, reflecting Subaru Park's historical fortress status despite the visitors' dominant Eastern Conference position atop the table with 22 points from nine games (7W-1D-1L, 21 goals for, 6 against). Nashville's stingy defense and recent head-to-head wins—including 1-0 in July 2025 and 3-1 in March 2025—bolster their 32.5% chances, fueled by strong form like a 4-2 victory over Charlotte FC last week. Union's poor start (1W-2D-7L, fifth-fewest points) is compounded by key absences: OUT Olivier Mbaizo (hamstring) and Quinn Sullivan (knee), while Nashville misses Chris Applewhite and Thomas Williams (lower body). Draw at 27.5% underscores the tight matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...Philadelphia Union hold a slight trader consensus edge at 40.5% implied probability for their home MLS clash against league-leading Nashville SC, reflecting Subaru Park's historical fortress status despite the visitors' dominant Eastern Conference position atop the table with 22 points from nine games (7W-1D-1L, 21 goals for, 6 against). Nashville's stingy defense and recent head-to-head wins—including 1-0 in July 2025 and 3-1 in March 2025—bolster their 32.5% chances, fueled by strong form like a 4-2 victory over Charlotte FC last week. Union's poor start (1W-2D-7L, fifth-fewest points) is compounded by key absences: OUT Olivier Mbaizo (hamstring) and Quinn Sullivan (knee), while Nashville misses Chris Applewhite and Thomas Williams (lower body). Draw at 27.5% underscores the tight matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions