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MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

icon for MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
Sports·Award

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Paul Skenes 39%

Shohei Ohtani 20.1%

Michael King 18.4%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 12%

Polymarket

$26,375 Vol.

Paul Skenes 39%

Shohei Ohtani 20.1%

Michael King 18.4%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 12%

Polymarket

$26,375 Vol.

Paul Skenes

$7,890 Vol.

39%

Shohei Ohtani

$3,640 Vol.

20%

Michael King

$584 Vol.

18%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

$1,280 Vol.

12%

Cristopher Sanchez

$1,103 Vol.

11%

Mason Miller

$645 Vol.

10%

Chris Sale

$868 Vol.

5%

Blake Snell

$644 Vol.

4%

Hunter Greene

$541 Vol.

4%

Zack Wheeler

$791 Vol.

4%

Nolan McLean

$974 Vol.

3%

Logan Webb

$693 Vol.

3%

Tyler Glasnow

$704 Vol.

3%

Eury Perez

$690 Vol.

3%

Jacob Misiorowski

$762 Vol.

7%

Brandon Woodruff

$458 Vol.

2%

Jesus Luzardo

$702 Vol.

2%

Freddy Peralta

$930 Vol.

1%

Nick Pivetta

$724 Vol.

1%

Mitch Keller

$567 Vol.

1%

Spencer Strider

$394 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Schwellenbach

$444 Vol.

<1%

Nick Lodolo

$351 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Skenes tops trader consensus at 31.5% implied probability after leading MLB's inaugural 2026 NL Cy Young poll with 27 first-place votes, fueled by his defending champion status from 2025 and elite early-season form—5-1 record, 2.31 ERA (sixth among qualified NL starters) through six outings for the Pirates. Michael King sits close at 20.4% with a 3-1 mark, 2.41 ERA, and 34 strikeouts in limited innings for the Padres, while Shohei Ohtani's 20% share reflects his seamless pitching return, posting a 0.60 ERA, 34 punchouts, and .160 opponent average over 30 innings including a six-scoreless debut. Cristopher Sanchez (12%) gains from his Phillies extension, Opening Day start, and 2.94 ERA, as skin-in-the-game bets weigh these hot starts against full-season workloads, matchups, and health.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,375
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Skenes tops trader consensus at 31.5% implied probability after leading MLB's inaugural 2026 NL Cy Young poll with 27 first-place votes, fueled by his defending champion status from 2025 and elite early-season form—5-1 record, 2.31 ERA (sixth among qualified NL starters) through six outings for the Pirates. Michael King sits close at 20.4% with a 3-1 mark, 2.41 ERA, and 34 strikeouts in limited innings for the Padres, while Shohei Ohtani's 20% share reflects his seamless pitching return, posting a 0.60 ERA, 34 punchouts, and .160 opponent average over 30 innings including a six-scoreless debut. Cristopher Sanchez (12%) gains from his Phillies extension, Opening Day start, and 2.94 ERA, as skin-in-the-game bets weigh these hot starts against full-season workloads, matchups, and health.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,375
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul Skenes" at 39%, followed by "Shohei Ohtani" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" has generated $26.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" is "Paul Skenes" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.