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Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

icon for MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

New York Yankees 22%

Seattle Mariners 15%

Toronto Blue Jays 10%

Detroit Tigers 10%

Polymarket

$3,720,320 Vol.

New York Yankees 22%

Seattle Mariners 15%

Toronto Blue Jays 10%

Detroit Tigers 10%

Polymarket

$3,720,320 Vol.

New York Yankees

$25,395 Vol.

22%

Seattle Mariners

$16,578 Vol.

15%

Toronto Blue Jays

$127,291 Vol.

10%

Detroit Tigers

$84,426 Vol.

10%

Texas Rangers

$7,924 Vol.

7%

Cleveland Guardians

$695,834 Vol.

5%

Baltimore Orioles

$40,909 Vol.

5%

Houston Astros

$755,277 Vol.

5%

Boston Red Sox

$16,957 Vol.

5%

Athletics

$140,848 Vol.

2%

Tampa Bay Rays

$367,248 Vol.

2%

Minnesota Twins

$238,216 Vol.

1%

Los Angeles Angels

$291,556 Vol.

1%

Chicago White Sox

$83,104 Vol.

<1%

Kansas City Royals

$828,973 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New York Yankees lead trader consensus for the 2026 AL pennant at 23% implied probability, fueled by their AL-best 20-11 record, plus-47 run differential, and 8-2 surge over the last 10 games, bolstered by Gerrit Cole's rotation return and Aaron Judge's offensive anchor amid a favorable AL East path. Seattle Mariners hold second at 15% behind elite pitching depth—the league's best top-13 starters—despite middling offense, maintaining AL West contention at 16-16 with a recent 7-3 stretch. Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers tie at 9.5%, differentiated by Toronto's high payroll and 7-3 hot streak despite 14-16 start, versus Detroit's young bats like Kevin McGonigle powering a tight AL Central chase at 15-16; both boast winnable divisions and rebound potential in this volatile early season.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,720,320
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New York Yankees lead trader consensus for the 2026 AL pennant at 23% implied probability, fueled by their AL-best 20-11 record, plus-47 run differential, and 8-2 surge over the last 10 games, bolstered by Gerrit Cole's rotation return and Aaron Judge's offensive anchor amid a favorable AL East path. Seattle Mariners hold second at 15% behind elite pitching depth—the league's best top-13 starters—despite middling offense, maintaining AL West contention at 16-16 with a recent 7-3 stretch. Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers tie at 9.5%, differentiated by Toronto's high payroll and 7-3 hot streak despite 14-16 start, versus Detroit's young bats like Kevin McGonigle powering a tight AL Central chase at 15-16; both boast winnable divisions and rebound potential in this volatile early season.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,720,320
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

42%
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30%
icon for Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New York Yankees" at 23%, followed by "Seattle Mariners" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" has generated $3.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 American League Champion," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is "New York Yankees" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Seattle Mariners" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.