Trader consensus slightly favors Mirra Andreeva at 55.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles title over Marta Kostyuk at 44.5%, reflecting her World No. 8 ranking, third WTA 1000 final of the year (2-0 record), and 12 clay-court wins this season. Andreeva advanced yesterday by saving three set points to hold off Hailey Baptiste in the semifinals, extending her strong clay form. Kostyuk, into her first WTA 1000 final, rebounded from a second-set lapse to beat Anastasia Potapova 6-2, 1-6, 6-1, boasting 11 clay wins in 2026 and a 1-0 head-to-head edge over Andreeva from Brisbane. The high-altitude clay at La Caja Mágica sets up a tight stylistic battle on Saturday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$45,682 Vol.
$45,682 Vol.
Mirra Andreeva
55%
Marta Kostyuk
45%
$45,682 Vol.
$45,682 Vol.
Mirra Andreeva
55%
Marta Kostyuk
45%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Mirra Andreeva at 55.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Mutua Madrid Open women's singles title over Marta Kostyuk at 44.5%, reflecting her World No. 8 ranking, third WTA 1000 final of the year (2-0 record), and 12 clay-court wins this season. Andreeva advanced yesterday by saving three set points to hold off Hailey Baptiste in the semifinals, extending her strong clay form. Kostyuk, into her first WTA 1000 final, rebounded from a second-set lapse to beat Anastasia Potapova 6-2, 1-6, 6-1, boasting 11 clay wins in 2026 and a 1-0 head-to-head edge over Andreeva from Brisbane. The high-altitude clay at La Caja Mágica sets up a tight stylistic battle on Saturday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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