**Current forecasts for Paris on June 15, 2026, center on an overnight minimum of 12–13 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.** Official and ensemble models from sources like Météo-France and international guidance show diurnal cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with lows sensitive to exact cloud timing, light winds, and urban heat retention. Radiative cooling strengthens under clearer conditions, favoring the lower end near 12 °C, while modest cloud cover or residual moisture could hold readings at 13 °C. This narrow range matches historical early-June variability around the 13 °C climatological average, with model spread and resolution criteria—typically the lowest official station reading—creating the tight trader consensus. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 15 de junio?
13°C 42%
12°C 39%
14°C 10%
11°C 6%
10°C o menos
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
44%
13°C
42%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
13°C 42%
12°C 39%
14°C 10%
11°C 6%
10°C o menos
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
44%
13°C
42%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Paris on June 15, 2026, center on an overnight minimum of 12–13 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes.** Official and ensemble models from sources like Météo-France and international guidance show diurnal cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with lows sensitive to exact cloud timing, light winds, and urban heat retention. Radiative cooling strengthens under clearer conditions, favoring the lower end near 12 °C, while modest cloud cover or residual moisture could hold readings at 13 °C. This narrow range matches historical early-June variability around the 13 °C climatological average, with model spread and resolution criteria—typically the lowest official station reading—creating the tight trader consensus. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes