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icon for Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

icon for Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

$42,257 Vol.

May 25, 2026
Polymarket

$42,257 Vol.

Polymarket

Schalke 04

$709 Vol.

98%

Hannover 96

$3,514 Vol.

58%

SC Paderborn

$16,487 Vol.

43%

SV Elversberg

$650 Vol.

27%

Darmstadt 98

$850 Vol.

1%

Hertha BSC

$1,506 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Schalke 04 leads the 2. Bundesliga table with 64 points after 31 matchdays, six points clear of SC Paderborn following their dramatic 3-2 comeback victory away at Paderborn on April 26 that halted the hosts' 10-match unbeaten run. Hannover 96 and SV Elversberg lurk one point behind Paderborn at 57 and 56 points, respectively, keeping the race for the second automatic promotion spot and third-place playoff fiercely contested amid strong recent form from all contenders. With three matchdays left, pivotal fixtures include Elversberg hosting Paderborn and Schalke facing mid-table Fortuna Düsseldorf at home, where a win could mathematically secure direct ascent to the Bundesliga; trader consensus reflects Schalke's momentum while pricing in upset potential from the bunched pack.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2.

If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,257
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Schalke 04 leads the 2. Bundesliga table with 64 points after 31 matchdays, six points clear of SC Paderborn following their dramatic 3-2 comeback victory away at Paderborn on April 26 that halted the hosts' 10-match unbeaten run. Hannover 96 and SV Elversberg lurk one point behind Paderborn at 57 and 56 points, respectively, keeping the race for the second automatic promotion spot and third-place playoff fiercely contested amid strong recent form from all contenders. With three matchdays left, pivotal fixtures include Elversberg hosting Paderborn and Schalke facing mid-table Fortuna Düsseldorf at home, where a win could mathematically secure direct ascent to the Bundesliga; trader consensus reflects Schalke's momentum while pricing in upset potential from the bunched pack.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2.

If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,257
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Schalke 04" at 98%, followed by "Hannover 96" at 58%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" has generated $42.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" is "Schalke 04" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hannover 96" at 58%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.