Athletic Club holds a slight edge as home favorite at San Mamés with 42.5% implied probability, driven by their strong home record (8-2-5 this season) and recent head-to-head success, including a 2-1 win at Celta earlier this campaign, but trader consensus tempers enthusiasm amid key absences. Nico Williams and Oihan Sancet sustained moderate hamstring injuries in Athletic's 1-0 loss to Valencia on May 11, likely ruling them out alongside Yuri Berchiche (thigh), weakening their attack. Celta Vigo, perched in 6th place, enters competitively at 25.5% after a morale-boosting 1-0 away victory over Atlético Madrid on May 9, underscoring solid away form despite missing Carl Starfelt (back) and Matías Vecino (muscle). High draw pricing at 31.5% reflects the closely contested late-season European chase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

If Athletic Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Athletic Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Athletic Club holds a slight edge as home favorite at San Mamés with 42.5% implied probability, driven by their strong home record (8-2-5 this season) and recent head-to-head success, including a 2-1 win at Celta earlier this campaign, but trader consensus tempers enthusiasm amid key absences. Nico Williams and Oihan Sancet sustained moderate hamstring injuries in Athletic's 1-0 loss to Valencia on May 11, likely ruling them out alongside Yuri Berchiche (thigh), weakening their attack. Celta Vigo, perched in 6th place, enters competitively at 25.5% after a morale-boosting 1-0 away victory over Atlético Madrid on May 9, underscoring solid away form despite missing Carl Starfelt (back) and Matías Vecino (muscle). High draw pricing at 31.5% reflects the closely contested late-season European chase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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