Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Republic of Ireland victory at 56% implied probability for this international friendly in Murcia, Spain, driven by their superior FIFA ranking around 58th compared to Grenada's 164th position and the Caribbean side's dismal recent form including 0-3 and 0-4 defeats to Kenya and Rwanda. Ireland's experimental squad of Championship-level and fringe players like potential call-ups Jack Moylan, Will Smallbone, and Joel Bagan—amid injuries to options such as Robbie Brady—tempers expectations, elevating the draw to 38.5% as traders weigh unproven lineups in a first-ever head-to-head during a Spanish training camp. Grenada's 10.5% reflects upset potential from defensive resilience but limited attacking threat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Republic of Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Republic of Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Republic of Ireland victory at 56% implied probability for this international friendly in Murcia, Spain, driven by their superior FIFA ranking around 58th compared to Grenada's 164th position and the Caribbean side's dismal recent form including 0-3 and 0-4 defeats to Kenya and Rwanda. Ireland's experimental squad of Championship-level and fringe players like potential call-ups Jack Moylan, Will Smallbone, and Joel Bagan—amid injuries to options such as Robbie Brady—tempers expectations, elevating the draw to 38.5% as traders weigh unproven lineups in a first-ever head-to-head during a Spanish training camp. Grenada's 10.5% reflects upset potential from defensive resilience but limited attacking threat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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