Mercedes' commanding constructors' lead with 135 points and Kimi Antonelli's wins in China and Japan have solidified trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for first points at the Miami Grand Prix sprint weekend, bolstered by their superior power unit and energy management critical under 2026 regs on this high-speed, low-abrasion track. Audi Revolut (42.5%), TGR Haas (42.0%), Alpine (41.5%), and Racing Bulls (40.0%) form a tight midfield pack, driven by consistent top-10 finishes—Haas achieving them every race—amid upgrades across the grid and 88% thunderstorm risk Sunday that could trigger chaos, DNFs, or strategy shifts favoring underdogs. Red Bull's chassis woes cap them at 13%, despite past Miami success, while McLaren's MCL40 updates offer upside but lag at 12.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRacing Bulls 84%
Mercedes 62%
Audi Revolut 42%
Tgr Haas 41%
Racing Bulls
84%
Mercedes
62%
Audi Revolut
42%
Tgr Haas
41%
Alpine
41%
Mclaren Mastercard
25%
Ferrari
9%
Red Bull
13%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
Racing Bulls 84%
Mercedes 62%
Audi Revolut 42%
Tgr Haas 41%
Racing Bulls
84%
Mercedes
62%
Audi Revolut
42%
Tgr Haas
41%
Alpine
41%
Mclaren Mastercard
25%
Ferrari
9%
Red Bull
13%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' commanding constructors' lead with 135 points and Kimi Antonelli's wins in China and Japan have solidified trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for first points at the Miami Grand Prix sprint weekend, bolstered by their superior power unit and energy management critical under 2026 regs on this high-speed, low-abrasion track. Audi Revolut (42.5%), TGR Haas (42.0%), Alpine (41.5%), and Racing Bulls (40.0%) form a tight midfield pack, driven by consistent top-10 finishes—Haas achieving them every race—amid upgrades across the grid and 88% thunderstorm risk Sunday that could trigger chaos, DNFs, or strategy shifts favoring underdogs. Red Bull's chassis woes cap them at 13%, despite past Miami success, while McLaren's MCL40 updates offer upside but lag at 12.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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